Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Melbourne City FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2020-21
Sat 17 Apr 2021 · 09:10 UTC AAMI Park HT 45+5' · FT 45+3'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne City FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Chris Beath
  • Referee Kristian Griffiths-Jones
  • Referee Ashley Beecham
  • Referee Jonathon Barreiro
  • Referee George Lakrindis

Recent Form

Season Stats

Melbourne City FC Melbourne Victory FC
#6 Position #4
38 Points 40
26 Played 26
10 / 8 / 8 W / D / L 11 / 7 / 8
33 Scored 44
33 Conceded 33
+0 GD +11
1.46 PPG 1.54
38% Win % 42%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne City FC are 6th (38 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.65 Melbourne City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Melbourne City FC to win 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne City FC68% Draw18% Melbourne Victory FC14%
Actual: Melbourne City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.69
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

Melbourne City FC or Draw
87%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
32%
Melbourne City FC or Melbourne Victory FC
82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne City FC52% Draw36% Melbourne Victory FC12%
Actual: Melbourne City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 7–0 not predicted
7 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
8.9%
3 – 1
7.7%
1 – 1
7.6%
3 – 0
7.6%
1 – 0
6.4%
4 – 1
5.2%
4 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 2
4%
0 – 0
3.7%
1 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne City FC

Handicap Melbourne City FC covers Push Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5 30% — 70%
-2 30% 20% 50%
-1.5 50% — 50%
-1 50% 20% 30%
-0.5 70% — 30%
+0.5 88% — 12%
+1 88% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne City FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✗
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.