Malaga CF vs UD Almería, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Malaga CF vs UD Almería — Segunda Division .
- Malaga CF 42 games · 73 pts (2026/27)
- UD Almería 42 games · 75 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Manuel Perez Hernandez (Spain)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Racing Club de Santander | 42 | 82 |
| 2 | RC Deportivo La Coruna | 42 | 77 |
| 3 | UD Almería | 42 | 75 |
| 4 | Malaga CF | 42 | 73 |
| 5 | UD Las Palmas | 42 | 73 |
| 6 | CD Castellon | 42 | 72 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 42 | 72 |
| 8 | SD Eibar | 42 | 67 |
| 9 | Real Sporting de Gijon | 42 | 61 |
| 10 | Cordoba CF | 42 | 61 |
| 11 | Albacete Balompie | 42 | 59 |
| 12 | AD Ceuta FC | 42 | 59 |
| 13 | Andorra CF | 42 | 58 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 42 | 48 |
| 15 | Real Sociedad B | 42 | 47 |
| 16 | CD Leganes | 42 | 46 |
| 17 | Real Valladolid CF | 42 | 46 |
| 18 | Cadiz CF | 42 | 43 |
| 19 | CD Mirandes | 42 | 40 |
| 20 | SD Huesca | 42 | 38 |
| 21 | Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa | 42 | 37 |
| 22 | Real Zaragoza | 42 | 36 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec | UD Almería | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Dec | Albacete Balompie | A | 3–1 | W |
| 08 Dec | Real Zaragoza | H | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Nov | Real Valladolid CF | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Nov | CD Mirandes | H | 3–2 | W |
| 17 Nov | Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec | Malaga CF | A | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Dec | Burgos CF | H | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Dec | Andorra CF | A | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Nov | SD Huesca | H | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Nov | AD Ceuta FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Nov | CD Leganes | A | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Malaga CF | UD Almería | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #3 |
| 73 | Points | 75 |
| 42 | Played | 42 |
| 21 / 10 / 11 | W / D / L | 22 / 9 / 11 |
| 75 | Scored | 80 |
| 52 | Conceded | 61 |
| +23 | GD | +19 |
| 1.74 | PPG | 1.79 |
| 50% | Win % | 52% |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Malaga CF are 4th (73 pts). UD Almería are 3rd (75 pts).
Events
Lineups
Malaga CF Lineups
UD Almería Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Leo Baptistao | 2 |
| Adri Embarba | 2 |
| Adrian | 1 |
| Haitam Abaida | 1 |
| Sergio Arribas | 1 |
| Antonio Cordero | 1 |
| Daniel Sanchez | 1 |
Head to Head
Malaga CF Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.03
Malaga CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.62
UD Almería xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Malaga CF win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.65
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 3.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 4.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
Double Chance
Malaga CF or Draw
73%
Draw or UD Almería
50%
Malaga CF or UD Almería
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Malaga CF win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
5.6%
2 – 0
5.4%
1 – 0
4.8%
3 – 2
4.6%
0 – 0
3.9%
0 – 1
3.6%
2 – 3
3.6%
1 – 3
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Malaga CF
| Handicap | Malaga CF covers | Push | UD Almería covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 14% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 19% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 15% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Malaga CF keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
UD Almería keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

