Wednesday , 22 July 2026

Malaga CF vs UD Almería, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Segunda Division · 2025-26
2 1
Full Time
Sun 21 Dec 2025 · 13:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Malaga CF vs UD AlmeríaSegunda Division .

Match Details

  • Referee Manuel Perez Hernandez (Spain)

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec UD Almería H 2–1 W
14 Dec Albacete Balompie A 3–1 W
08 Dec Real Zaragoza H 1–1 D
29 Nov Real Valladolid CF A 1–1 D
23 Nov CD Mirandes H 3–2 W
17 Nov Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Dec Malaga CF A 1–2 L
14 Dec Burgos CF H 1–2 L
06 Dec Andorra CF A 2–1 W
29 Nov SD Huesca H 0–0 D
26 Nov AD Ceuta FC A 2–3 L
22 Nov CD Leganes A 3–0 W

Season Stats

Malaga CF UD Almería
#4 Position #3
73 Points 75
42 Played 42
21 / 10 / 11 W / D / L 22 / 9 / 11
75 Scored 80
52 Conceded 61
+23 GD +19
1.74 PPG 1.79
50% Win % 52%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Malaga CF are 4th (73 pts). UD Almería are 3rd (75 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Malaga CF to score. At the same time, UD Almeria does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Malaga CF players.

Lineups

Malaga CF Lineups

UD Almería Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.03 Malaga CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.62 UD Almería xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Malaga CF50% Draw23% UD Almería27%
Actual: Malaga CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.65
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

Malaga CF or Draw
73%
Draw or UD Almería
50%
Malaga CF or UD Almería
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Malaga CF35% Draw40% UD Almería25%
Actual: Malaga CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
5.6%
2 – 0
5.4%
1 – 0
4.8%
3 – 2
4.6%
0 – 0
3.9%
0 – 1
3.6%
2 – 3
3.6%
1 – 3
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Malaga CF

Handicap Malaga CF covers Push UD Almería covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 14% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 19% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 15% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 9% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Malaga CF keeps clean sheet
21%
UD Almería keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.