MSV Duisburg vs 1. FC Nürnberg, 2017

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1. Bundesliga 2017/18 · 2017

MSV Duisburg

1 – 2

Full Time

1. FC Nürnberg

Sat 21 Oct 2017 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

MSV Duisburg vs 1. FC Nürnberg — Bundesliga .

MSV Duisburg 0 games · 0 pts
1. FC Nürnberg 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

MSV Duisburg 2.04

Draw 3.50

1. FC Nürnberg 3.60

Head-to-Head

MSV Duisburg 6 games · Avg 2.5 goals 1. FC Nürnberg

Last 5 meetings

2017-10-21 MSV Duisburg 1–2 1. FC Nürnberg 2016-02-21 1. FC Nürnberg 0–1 MSV Duisburg 2015-09-20 MSV Duisburg 2–0 1. FC Nürnberg 2015-05-16 MSV Duisburg 1–2 1. FC Nürnberg 2014-12-16 1. FC Nürnberg 2–0 MSV Duisburg

Recent Form

MSV Duisburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Oct	1. FC Nürnberg	H	1–2	L
14 Oct	SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen	A	2–2	D
30 Sep	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	1–2	L
23 Sep	FC Erzgebirge Aue	A	0–0	D
19 Sep	TuS Erndtebruck	H	1–0	W
16 Sep	FC Hansa Rostock	A	2–1	W

1. FC Nürnberg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Oct	MSV Duisburg	A	2–1	W
14 Oct	FC Hansa Rostock	H	1–2	L
30 Sep	VfB Stuttgart	A	1–2	L
24 Sep	Karlsruher SC	H	0–0	D
20 Sep	Hamburger SV	A	1–1	D
15 Sep	TuS Dassendorf	H	2–0	W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
MSV Duisburg will have plenty to reflect on. 1. FC Nurnberg were simply the better side today.

Lineups

MSV Duisburg Lineups

1. FC Nürnberg Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

MSV Duisburg Form

2017-10-21 MSV Duisburg 1–2 1. FC Nürnberg L 2017-10-14 SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 2–2 MSV Duisburg D 2017-09-30 MSV Duisburg 1–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2017-09-23 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–0 MSV Duisburg D 2017-09-19 MSV Duisburg 1–0 TuS Erndtebruck W 2017-09-16 FC Hansa Rostock 1–2 MSV Duisburg W

1. FC Nürnberg Form

2017-10-21 MSV Duisburg 1–2 1. FC Nürnberg W 2017-10-14 1. FC Nürnberg 1–2 FC Hansa Rostock L 2017-09-30 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 1. FC Nürnberg L 2017-09-24 1. FC Nürnberg 0–0 Karlsruher SC D 2017-09-20 Hamburger SV 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg D 2017-09-15 1. FC Nürnberg 2–0 TuS Dassendorf W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.22 MSV Duisburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.24 1. FC Nürnberg xG

I would bet for: MSV Duisburg or 1. FC Nürnberg 70% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

MSV Duisburg35% Draw30% 1. FC Nürnberg35%

Actual: 1. FC Nürnberg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.46

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	71%	29%
± 2.5	44%	56%
± 3.5	24%	76%
± 4.5	11%	89%

Double Chance

MSV Duisburg or Draw

65%

Draw or 1. FC Nürnberg

65%

MSV Duisburg or 1. FC Nürnberg

70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

MSV Duisburg25% Draw49% 1. FC Nürnberg26%

Actual: MSV Duisburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.9%

0 – 0

10.7%

0 – 1

9.5%

1 – 0

9.3%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 1

7.6%

0 – 2

6.4%

2 – 0

6.2%

2 – 2

4.8%

1 – 3

3.2%

3 – 1

3.1%

0 – 3

2.6%

Asian Handicap — MSV Duisburg

Handicap	MSV Duisburg covers	Push	1. FC Nürnberg covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	10%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	19%	66%
-0.5	34%	—	66%
+0.5	65%	—	35%
+1	65%	20%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	10%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

MSV Duisburg keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

1. FC Nürnberg keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.