Iceland vs Croatia, Worldcup 2018 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Paolo Valeri
- Referee Felix Zwayer
- Referee Elenito Di Liberatore
- Referee Antonio Mateu
- Referee Pau Cebrian
- Referee Roberto Diaz
- Referee Gery Vargas
- Referee John Pitti
- Referee Gabriel Victoria
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | South Korea | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Czechia | 3 | 1 |
| 5 | Switzerland | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Canada | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | Qatar | 3 | 1 |
| 9 | Brazil | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | Morocco | 3 | 7 |
| 11 | Scotland | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | Haiti | 3 | 0 |
| 13 | United States | 3 | 6 |
| 14 | Australia | 3 | 4 |
| 15 | Paraguay | 3 | 4 |
| 16 | Turkey | 3 | 3 |
| 17 | Germany | 3 | 6 |
| 18 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 6 |
| 19 | Ecuador | 3 | 4 |
| 20 | Curaçao | 3 | 1 |
| 21 | Netherlands | 3 | 7 |
| 22 | Japan | 3 | 5 |
| 23 | Sweden | 3 | 4 |
| 24 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 |
| 25 | Belgium | 3 | 5 |
| 26 | Egypt | 3 | 5 |
| 27 | Iran | 3 | 3 |
| 28 | New Zealand | 3 | 1 |
| 29 | Spain | 3 | 7 |
| 30 | Cape Verde Islands | 3 | 3 |
| 31 | Uruguay | 3 | 2 |
| 32 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 2 |
| 33 | France | 3 | 9 |
| 34 | Norway | 3 | 6 |
| 35 | Senegal | 3 | 3 |
| 36 | Iraq | 3 | 0 |
| 37 | Argentina | 3 | 9 |
| 38 | Austria | 3 | 4 |
| 39 | Algeria | 3 | 4 |
| 40 | Jordan | 3 | 0 |
| 41 | Colombia | 3 | 7 |
| 42 | Portugal | 3 | 5 |
| 43 | Congo DR | 3 | 4 |
| 44 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 0 |
| 45 | England | 3 | 7 |
| 46 | Croatia | 3 | 6 |
| 47 | Ghana | 3 | 4 |
| 48 | Panama | 3 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
25%
Clean Sheets
Croatia this season
Croatia this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Croatia
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
–/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Iceland and Croatia has kicked off!
- 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 10' Dejan Lovren has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 14' Controversy at the stadium! Marko Pjaca argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 19' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 24' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Iceland and Croatia are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 29' Iceland currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 34' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Iceland side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 39' Croatia is showing some good football. However, Croatia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 44' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Hordur Magnusson suffering a number of foals already.
- 49' Croatia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 53' GOAL! Milan Badelj fires home to make it 0-1!
- 58' Mateo Kovacic has been relatively quiet despite scoring 15 goals in his last 409 appearances.
- 59' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Emil Hallfredsson on 59 minutes.
- 64' The referee shows Iceland player a Yellow card on 64.
- 65' Another substitution for Croatia to replace Luka Modric by Filip Bradaric on 65 minute.
- 70' Fresh legs for Croatia! Dejan Lovren comes on to replace Marko Pjaca.
- 75' Hannes Þor Halldorsson needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 76' Gylfi THor Sigurdsson has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 76 minutes.
- 81' Another substitution for Croatia to replace Mateo Kovacic by Ivan Rakitic on 81 minute.
- 83' Tin Jedvaj was booked on 83.
- 84' The referee has no hesitation. Birkir Mar Saevarsson is booked for Iceland — Yellow card on 84.
- 85' It is a substitution in Iceland team. Alfred Finnbogason is replaced by Albert Gudmundsson on 85 minute.
- 90' The Croatia Ivan Perisic breaks the deadlock on 90 minutes. 1-2!
- 90' A tactical swap from Iceland — Arnor Ingvi Traustason on, Birkir Bjarnason off on 90 minutes.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Croatia to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Iceland Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 10
- 17
- 8
- 11
- 20
- 1
- 6
- 5
- 2
- 18
Bench
- 22
-
4
Albert Gudmundsson ↑ 85'
- 14
- 13
- 19
-
9
Bjorn Sigurðarson ↑ 71'
-
21
Arnor Ingvi Traustason ↑ 90'
- 12
- 15
- 23
- 16
- 3
Coach
Heimir Hallgrimsson
Croatia Lineups
Starting XI
-
8
Mateo Kovacic ↓ Ivan Rakitic 82'
- 15
- 13
- 9
-
10
Luka Modric C ↓ Filip Bradaric 65'
- 4
-
20
Marko Pjaca ↓ Dejan Lovren 70'
- 19
- 22
- 12
- 5
Bench
-
6
Dejan Lovren ↑ 70'
- 23
- 18
-
7
Ivan Rakitic ↑ 82'
- 17
-
14
Filip Bradaric ↑ 65'
- 3
- 2
- 11
- 21
- 1
Coach
Zlatko Dalić
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gylfi Þor Sigurðsson | 1 |
| Ivan Perisic | 1 |
| Milan Badelj | 1 |
| Gylfi Þor Sigurðsson | 1 |
| Ivan Perisic | 1 |
| Milan Badelj | 1 |
Head to Head
Iceland Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.65
Iceland xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26
Croatia xG
I would bet for:
Iceland or Croatia 72% + Both teams to score 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Croatia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.91
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
Iceland or Draw
70%
Draw or Croatia
57%
Iceland or Croatia
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
8.1%
2 – 0
7.3%
0 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
6%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Iceland
| Handicap | Iceland covers | Push | Croatia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 14% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 21% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 16% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Iceland keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Croatia keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.