Sunday , 16 August 2026

Hednesford Town FC vs Gainsborough Trinity FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 1

FA Cup · 2024-25
Sat 2 Nov 2024 · 15:00 UTC Keys Park 3,866 HT 45' · FT 45'
Manny Duku 4' 1–0
Dominic McHale 49' 3–0
Dominic McHale 95' 4–3

Overview

Match Preview

Hednesford Town FC vs Gainsborough Trinity FCFA Cup at Keys Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Jason Richardson (England)
  • Assistant 1 Callum Gough (England)
  • Assistant 2 Jacob Graham (England)

Head-to-Head

1
Hednesford Town FC 1 games · Avg 9.0 goals Gainsborough Trinity FC

Recent Form

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Gainsborough Trinity FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Hednesford Town FC to score. At the same time, Gainsborough Trinity FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 4' The deadlock is broken! Manny Duku gets on the scoresheet on 4 minutes.
  • 9' Supporters expect more eagerness from Dominic McHale, as he is very good at scoring at Keys Park with 2 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 14' With 0 assists to his name this season, Elliot Johnson is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Gainsborough Trinity FC.
  • 19' Gainsborough Trinity FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 24' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Joel Taylor made 10 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 29' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 34' England international Kory Roberts has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 39' It looks surprising Gainsborough Trinity FC does not make any changes. Aaron Simpson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 44' Over 44 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 49' GOAL! Dominic McHale scores on 49.
  • 61' It’s a booking for Hednesford Town FC player. Joel Taylor gets a card.
  • 4-5 the final result. Hednesford Town FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Hednesford Town FC Lineups

Gainsborough Trinity FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.09 Hednesford Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.17 Gainsborough Trinity FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hednesford Town FC37% Draw24% Gainsborough Trinity FC39%
Actual: Gainsborough Trinity FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes77% 0% No23%
Avg goals/match: 4.26
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 78%
22%
± 3.5 60%
40%
± 4.5 42%
58%

Double Chance

Hednesford Town FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Gainsborough Trinity FC
63%
Hednesford Town FC or Gainsborough Trinity FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hednesford Town FC31% Draw37% Gainsborough Trinity FC32%
Actual: Hednesford Town FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–5 not predicted
4 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 3
5%
1 – 3
4.9%
3 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.5%
3 – 3
3.5%
0 – 2
3.5%
2 – 0
3.2%
2 – 4
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Hednesford Town FC

Handicap Hednesford Town FC covers Push Gainsborough Trinity FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 11% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 16% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 59% 41%
+1 59% 17% 24%
+1.5 76% 24%
+2 76% 12% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

Hednesford Town FC keeps clean sheet
12%
Gainsborough Trinity FC keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.