Sunday , 4 October 2026

Germany vs Poland, UEFA Womens Euro 2025 GROUP STAGE

2 – 0
Full Time
Fri 4 Jul 2025 · 19:00 UTC Kybunpark HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Germany vs Poland — UEFA Womens Euro at Kybunpark.

  • Germany 0 games · 0 pts (2025/25)
  • Poland 3 games · 3 pts (2025/25)

Match Details

  • Referee Stephanie Frappart
8 games this season 🟨 2.1/game ⚽ 8.9 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Norway 3 9
2 Switzerland 3 4
3 Finland 3 4
4 Iceland 3 0
5 Spain 3 9
6 Italy 3 4
7 Belgium 3 3
8 Portugal 3 1
9 Sweden 3 9
10 Germany 3 6
11 Poland 3 3
12 Denmark 3 0
13 France 3 9
14 England 3 6
15 Netherlands 3 3
16 Wales 3 0

Head-to-Head

1
Germany 1 games · Avg 2.0 goals Poland

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jul Poland H 2–0 W
03 Aug South Korea A 1–1 D
30 Jul Colombia H 1–2 L
24 Jul Morocco H 6–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jul Germany A 0–2 L

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Germany this season
0% Clean Sheets
Poland this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Germany
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/–
61-75
2/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Poland
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/3
61-75
–/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Germany
Jule Brand 2 G 2 A
Lea Schuller 2 G
Sjoeke Nusken 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Germany to score. At the same time, Poland does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Poland is showing some good football. However, Poland are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' Giulia Gwinn has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 15' Germany are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Poland's shape.
  • 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kayla Adamek suffering a number of foals already.
  • 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Germany winning 100% of all matches.
  • 30' It looks surprising Poland does not make any changes. Klara Buhl has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 35' Germany are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Poland backline.
  • 40' A change in the Germany ranks — Giulia Gwinn exits the field as Carlotta Wamser enters on 40.
  • 45' Dominika Grabowska has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 46' Fresh legs for Poland! Oliwia Wos comes on to replace Paulina Dudek.
  • 51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
  • 52' Jule Brand puts Germany on the lead.
  • 57' Ann-Katrin Berger is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Poland tonight.
  • 59' The whistle greets Natalia Padilla-Bidas as he departs to be replaced by Kayla Adamek.
  • 64' The travelling Poland supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 66' What a moment for Lea Schuller! That strike on 66 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 67' Another change for Poland made on 67 minute. Ewelina Kamczyk leaves to be changed by Klaudia Slowinska.
  • 70' A change in the Germany ranks — Lea Schuller exits the field as Giovanna Hoffmann enters on 70.
  • 70' The referee shows Poland player a card on 70.
  • 75' The -year-old Kinga Szemik has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 80' Time for substitution for Poland. Tanja Pawollek is replaced by Dominika Grabowska.
  • 85' Time for substitution for Germany. Klara Buhl is replaced by Selina Cerci.
  • 90' Klaudia Slowinska picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • Poland will have plenty to reflect on. Germany were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.81 Germany xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.63 Poland xG
I would bet for: Germany to win 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Germany62% Draw24% Poland14%
Actual: Germany win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Germany or Draw
86%
Draw or Poland
38%
Germany or Poland
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Germany44% Draw46% Poland10%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
15.1%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.7%
1 – 1
10.6%
2 – 1
8.7%
3 – 0
8.2%
3 – 1
5.3%
0 – 1
4.6%
4 – 0
3.7%
1 – 2
3%
2 – 2
2.8%
4 – 1
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Germany

Handicap Germany covers Push Poland covers
-2.5 18% — 82%
-2 18% 20% 61%
-1.5 39% — 61%
-1 39% 26% 36%
-0.5 64% — 36%
+0.5 89% — 11%
+1 89% 8% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Germany keeps clean sheet
54% ✓
Poland keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.