FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Nagoya Grampus, 2016

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Primeira Liga 2016/17 · 2016

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

0 – 2

Full Time

Nagoya Grampus

Sat 29 Apr 2017 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Nagoya Grampus — Primeira Liga .

FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0 games · 0 pts
Nagoya Grampus 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

FK Zalgiris Vilnius 3.10

Draw 3.20

Nagoya Grampus 2.30

Head-to-Head

FK Zalgiris Vilnius 6 games · Avg 1.5 goals Nagoya Grampus

Last 5 meetings

2017-04-29 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0–2 Nagoya Grampus 2016-12-18 Nagoya Grampus 2–1 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2016-03-13 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1–0 Nagoya Grampus 2015-11-01 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2015-03-09 Nagoya Grampus 1–1 FK Zalgiris Vilnius

Recent Form

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Apr	Nagoya Grampus	H	0–2	L
22 Apr	Gamba Osaka	A	0–2	L
17 Apr	Urawa Red Diamonds	H	0–1	L
09 Apr	Vegalta Sendai	A	1–0	W
31 Mar	Kawasaki Frontale	H	1–2	L
18 Mar	Vissel Kobe	A	0–2	L

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Apr	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	A	2–0	W
21 Apr	PFK Levski Sofia	H	3–0	W
15 Apr	Gamba Osaka	A	1–2	L
09 Apr	FC Tokyo	H	0–0	D
01 Apr	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	1–0	W
19 Mar	Kawasaki Frontale	A	0–3	L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

17% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! FK Zalgiris Vilnius welcome Nagoya Grampus for this crunch clash at .
Another three points for Nagoya Grampus.

Lineups

FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

FK Zalgiris Vilnius Form

2017-04-29 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0–2 Nagoya Grampus L 2017-04-22 Gamba Osaka 2–0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius L 2017-04-17 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0–1 Urawa Red Diamonds L 2017-04-09 Vegalta Sendai 0–1 FK Zalgiris Vilnius W 2017-03-31 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1–2 Kawasaki Frontale L 2017-03-18 Vissel Kobe 2–0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius L

Nagoya Grampus Form

2017-04-29 FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2017-04-21 Nagoya Grampus 3–0 PFK Levski Sofia W 2017-04-15 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2017-04-09 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 FC Tokyo D 2017-04-01 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 0–1 Nagoya Grampus W 2017-03-19 Kawasaki Frontale 3–0 Nagoya Grampus L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

0.97 FK Zalgiris Vilnius xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.23 Nagoya Grampus xG

I would bet for: Nagoya Grampus or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FK Zalgiris Vilnius29% Draw31% Nagoya Grampus40%

Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes45% 0% No55%

Avg goals/match: 2.2

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	65%	35%
± 2.5	38%	62%
± 3.5	19%	81%
± 4.5	8%	92%

Double Chance

FK Zalgiris Vilnius or Draw

59%

Draw or Nagoya Grampus

71%

FK Zalgiris Vilnius or Nagoya Grampus

69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FK Zalgiris Vilnius20% Draw52% Nagoya Grampus28%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14.2%

0 – 0

13.4%

0 – 1

12.4%

1 – 0

9.5%

0 – 2

Actual

1 – 2

7.9%

2 – 1

6.2%

2 – 0

2 – 2

3.9%

1 – 3

3.3%

0 – 3

3.2%

3 – 1

Asian Handicap — FK Zalgiris Vilnius

Handicap	FK Zalgiris Vilnius covers	Push	Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	7%	90%
-1.5	10%	—	90%
-1	10%	17%	72%
-0.5	28%	—	72%
+0.5	60%	—	40%
+1	60%	22%	18%
+1.5	82%	—	18%
+2	82%	12%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

FK Zalgiris Vilnius keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

38% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.