FK Orenburg vs NEROCA FC, 2016

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Serie B · 2016

FK Orenburg

1 – 0

Full Time

NEROCA FC

Fri 24 Feb 2017 · 23:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FK Orenburg vs NEROCA FC — Serie B .

FK Orenburg 0 games · 0 pts
NEROCA FC 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

FK Orenburg 2.25

Draw 3.10

NEROCA FC 3.40

Head-to-Head

FK Orenburg 4 games · Avg 2.8 goals NEROCA FC

Last 5 meetings

2017-02-24 FK Orenburg 1–0 NEROCA FC 2016-09-24 NEROCA FC 2–0 FK Orenburg 2016-04-17 NEROCA FC 1–2 FK Orenburg 2015-11-29 FK Orenburg 3–2 NEROCA FC

Recent Form

FK Orenburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Feb	NEROCA FC	H	1–0	W
19 Feb	Molde FK	A	0–0	D
11 Feb	Sporting Clube de Portugal	H	1–0	W
04 Feb	CS Fola Esch	A	1–0	W
27 Jan	Portimonense SC	H	1–0	W
21 Jan	Hadley FC	A	1–2	L

NEROCA FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Feb	FK Orenburg	A	0–1	L
20 Feb	US Sassuolo Calcio	H	0–0	D
11 Feb	CD Nacional	A	0–2	L
03 Feb	Frosinone Calcio	H	2–2	D
29 Jan	FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	H	2–0	W
21 Jan	CS Fola Esch	A	0–2	L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: NEROCA FC gets underway.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FK Orenburg players.

Lineups

FK Orenburg Lineups

NEROCA FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 3

1.36 FK Orenburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.78 NEROCA FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FK Orenburg53% Draw28% NEROCA FC19%

Actual: FK Orenburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes41% 0% No59%

Avg goals/match: 2.14

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	86%	14%
± 1.5	63%	37%
± 2.5	36%	64%
± 3.5	17%	83%
± 4.5	7%	93%

Double Chance

FK Orenburg or Draw

81%

Draw or NEROCA FC

47%

FK Orenburg or NEROCA FC

72%

Half-Time Result

FK Orenburg33% Draw52% NEROCA FC15%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 0

14.1%

1 – 1

13.3%

2 – 0

10.5%

2 – 1

8.2%

0 – 1

1 – 2

4.7%

3 – 0

4.7%

3 – 1

3.8%

0 – 2

3.4%

2 – 2

3.3%

4 – 0

1.6%

Asian Handicap — FK Orenburg

Handicap	FK Orenburg covers	Push	NEROCA FC covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	15%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	25%	51%
-0.5	49%	—	51%
+0.5	80%	—	20%
+1	80%	14%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	5%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

FK Orenburg keeps clean sheet

46% ✗

NEROCA FC keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.