Saturday , 14 November 2026

FC Metz vs Olympique Lyonnais, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
Sun 25 Jan 2026 · 16:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Metz vs Olympique Lyonnais — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Eric Wattellier
7 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 14.9 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan Olympique Lyonnais H 2–5 L
18 Jan RC Strasbourg Alsace A 1–2 L
04 Jan FC Lorient A 1–1 D
13 Dec Paris Saint-Germain FC H 2–3 L
07 Dec AJ Auxerre A 1–3 L
28 Nov Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan FC Metz A 5–2 W
22 Jan BSC Young Boys A 1–0 W
18 Jan Stade Brestois 29 H 2–1 W
03 Jan AS Monaco FC A 3–1 W
14 Dec Le Havre AC H 1–0 W
11 Dec Go Ahead Eagles H 2–1 W

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
Olympique Lyonnais this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Olympique Lyonnais
0-15
1/–
16-30
2/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
2/–
61-75
1/2
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Olympique Lyonnais
Ernest Nuamah 4 G 1 A
Corentin Tolisso 2 G 3 A
Zachary Athekame 2 G 3 A
Lois Openda 1 G 1 A
Felix Bacher 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Metz Lineups

Olympique Lyonnais Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.35 FC Metz xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.11 Olympique Lyonnais xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Metz24% Draw23% Olympique Lyonnais53%
Actual: Olympique Lyonnais win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.46
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

FC Metz or Draw
47%
Draw or Olympique Lyonnais
76%
FC Metz or Olympique Lyonnais
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Metz20% Draw40% Olympique Lyonnais40%
Actual: Olympique Lyonnais win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–5 not predicted
2 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
9.8%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 2
7%
1 – 3
6.4%
0 – 1
6.1%
2 – 2
6.1%
2 – 1
5.9%
0 – 3
4.8%
0 – 0
4.6%
2 – 3
4.3%
1 – 0
3.6%
1 – 4
3.4%

Asian Handicap — FC Metz

Handicap FC Metz covers Push Olympique Lyonnais covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 13% 77%
-0.5 23% — 77%
+0.5 46% — 54%
+1 46% 21% 33%
+1.5 67% — 33%
+2 67% 16% 16%
+2.5 84% — 16%

Clean Sheet

FC Metz keeps clean sheet
13% ✓
Olympique Lyonnais keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.