FC Augsburg vs FC Erzgebirge Aue, 2016

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2. Bundesliga 2016/17 · 2016

FC Augsburg

2 – 3

Full Time

FC Erzgebirge Aue

Sat 29 Apr 2017 · 11:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Augsburg vs FC Erzgebirge Aue — 2. Bundesliga .

FC Augsburg 0 games · 0 pts
FC Erzgebirge Aue 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

FC Augsburg 4.00

Draw 3.40

FC Erzgebirge Aue 1.91

Head-to-Head

FC Augsburg 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals FC Erzgebirge Aue

Last 5 meetings

2017-04-29 FC Augsburg 2–3 FC Erzgebirge Aue 2016-11-28 FC Erzgebirge Aue 3–1 FC Augsburg

Recent Form

FC Augsburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Apr	FC Erzgebirge Aue	H	2–3	L
23 Apr	FC Groningen	A	1–1	D
15 Apr	North Shields FC	H	2–1	W
07 Apr	BFC Dynamo	H	0–2	L
04 Apr	1. FC Nürnberg	A	0–1	L
31 Mar	SC Heerenveen	H	2–1	W

FC Erzgebirge Aue

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Apr	FC Augsburg	A	3–2	W
24 Apr	FC Viktoria Köln 1904	H	3–1	W
17 Apr	VfL Bochum 1848	A	3–2	W
09 Apr	SC Heerenveen	H	2–0	W
05 Apr	Vitória SC	A	1–1	D
02 Apr	FC Rot-Weiss Koblenz	H	3–3	D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)

100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. FC Augsburg kicks off things out of here…
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-3 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

FC Augsburg Lineups

FC Erzgebirge Aue Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.48 FC Augsburg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.84 FC Erzgebirge Aue xG

I would bet for: FC Augsburg or FC Erzgebirge Aue 75% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct

FC Augsburg30% Draw25% FC Erzgebirge Aue45%

Actual: FC Erzgebirge Aue win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes65% 0% No35%

Avg goals/match: 3.32

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	63%	37%
± 3.5	42%	58%
± 4.5	24%	76%

Double Chance

FC Augsburg or Draw

56%

Draw or FC Erzgebirge Aue

70%

FC Augsburg or FC Erzgebirge Aue

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FC Augsburg24% Draw42% FC Erzgebirge Aue34%

Actual: FC Augsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.7%

1 – 2

8.7%

2 – 1

2 – 2

6.4%

0 – 2

6.1%

0 – 1

1 – 3

5.3%

0 – 0

5.1%

1 – 0

4.7%

2 – 0

2 – 3

Actual

0 – 3

3.7%

Asian Handicap — FC Augsburg

Handicap	FC Augsburg covers	Push	FC Erzgebirge Aue covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	9%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	16%	70%
-0.5	30%	—	70%
+0.5	55%	—	45%
+1	55%	20%	25%
+1.5	75%	—	25%
+2	75%	14%	11%
+2.5	89%	—	11%

Clean Sheet

FC Augsburg keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

FC Erzgebirge Aue keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.