Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Exeter City FC vs Reading FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2025-26
Sat 11 Oct 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Oct Reading FC H 1–1 D
04 Oct Lincoln City FC A 1–0 W
27 Sep Huddersfield Town AFC H 0–1 L
20 Sep Stevenage FC A 1–2 L
13 Sep Port Vale FC H 0–2 L
06 Sep Rotherham United FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Oct Exeter City FC A 1–1 D
04 Oct Mansfield Town FC H 1–1 D
27 Sep Stockport County FC A 1–1 D
20 Sep Leyton Orient FC H 2–1 W
13 Sep Barnsley FC A 2–3 L
30 Aug Port Vale FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
Reading FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Reading FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
6/–
46-60
4/3
61-75
1/2
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Reading FC
Jack Marriott 8 G
Jacob Brown 2 G
George Earthy 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Exeter City FC Lineups

Reading FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.19 Exeter City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 Reading FC xG
I would bet for: Exeter City FC or Reading FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Exeter City FC35% Draw30% Reading FC35%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Exeter City FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Reading FC
65%
Exeter City FC or Reading FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Exeter City FC25% Draw50% Reading FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.3%
0 – 1
9.8%
1 – 0
9.7%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 1
7.5%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
3%
0 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Exeter City FC

Handicap Exeter City FC covers Push Reading FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 19% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 20% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Reading FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.