Sunday , 16 August 2026

Ellesmere Rangers FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, 2016

English National League · 2016
Ellesmere Rangers FC
3 – 1
Full Time
Heart of Midlothian FC
Mon 3 Oct 2016 · 22:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Ellesmere Rangers FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC — Premier League .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Ellesmere Rangers FC 1.91
Draw 3.40
Heart of Midlothian FC 4.00

Head-to-Head

2
Ellesmere Rangers FC 2 games · Avg 5.0 goals Heart of Midlothian FC
Last 5 meetings
2016-10-03 Ellesmere Rangers FC 3–1 Heart of Midlothian FC

Recent Form

Ellesmere Rangers FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Heart of Midlothian FC H 3–1 W
01 Oct Winslow United FC A 0–5 L
24 Sep England H 2–0 W
17 Sep FK Ventspils A 1–0 W
13 Sep Aberdeen FC A 0–2 L
10 Sep Sweden H 4–3 W
Heart of Midlothian FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Ellesmere Rangers FC A 1–3 L
01 Oct Lutterworth Town AFC H 1–0 W
24 Sep Leicester Road FC A 1–2 L
17 Sep FK Vardar Skopje H 1–0 W
13 Sep Northallerton Town FC H 1–2 L
10 Sep CA Paranaense A 0–1 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Ellesmere Rangers FC Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

2016-10-03 Ellesmere Rangers FC 3–1 Heart of Midlothian FC

Ellesmere Rangers FC Form

2016-10-03 Ellesmere Rangers FC 3–1 Heart of Midlothian FC W 2016-09-30 Winslow United FC 5–0 Ellesmere Rangers FC L 2016-09-23 Ellesmere Rangers FC 2–0 England W 2016-09-16 FK Ventspils 0–1 Ellesmere Rangers FC W 2016-09-12 Aberdeen FC 2–0 Ellesmere Rangers FC L 2016-09-09 Ellesmere Rangers FC 4–3 Sweden W

Heart of Midlothian FC Form

2016-10-03 Ellesmere Rangers FC 3–1 Heart of Midlothian FC L 2016-09-30 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–0 Lutterworth Town AFC W 2016-09-23 Leicester Road FC 2–1 Heart of Midlothian FC L 2016-09-16 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–0 FK Vardar Skopje W 2016-09-12 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–2 Northallerton Town FC L 2016-09-09 CA Paranaense 1–0 Heart of Midlothian FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 3
2.07 Ellesmere Rangers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for: Ellesmere Rangers FC to win 60% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Ellesmere Rangers FC60% Draw22% Heart of Midlothian FC18%
Actual: Ellesmere Rangers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.1
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Ellesmere Rangers FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
40%
Ellesmere Rangers FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
78%

Half-Time Result

Ellesmere Rangers FC43% Draw42% Heart of Midlothian FC15%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
2 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
9.6%
1 – 0
8.8%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
6.4%
0 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 2
4.8%
0 – 1
3.9%
4 – 1
3.5%
3 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Ellesmere Rangers FC

Handicap Ellesmere Rangers FC covers Push Heart of Midlothian FC covers
-2.5 19% — 81%
-2 19% 18% 63%
-1.5 37% — 63%
-1 37% 23% 40%
-0.5 60% — 40%
+0.5 83% — 17%
+1 83% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Ellesmere Rangers FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✓
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.