FK Ventspils vs Ellesmere Rangers FC, 2016

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English National League · 2016

FK Ventspils

0 – 1

Full Time

Ellesmere Rangers FC

Fri 16 Sep 2016 · 22:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FK Ventspils vs Ellesmere Rangers FC — Premier League .

FK Ventspils 0 games · 0 pts
Ellesmere Rangers FC 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

FK Ventspils 2.60

Draw 3.40

Ellesmere Rangers FC 2.60

Head-to-Head

FK Ventspils 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Ellesmere Rangers FC

Last 5 meetings

2016-09-16 FK Ventspils 0–1 Ellesmere Rangers FC

Recent Form

FK Ventspils

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Sep	Ellesmere Rangers FC	H	0–1	L
13 Sep	FK Vardar Skopje	H	0–0	D
10 Sep	KS Luftetari Gjirokaster	A	0–2	L
03 Sep	Real Valladolid CF	H	4–0	W
29 Aug	CA Paranaense	A	1–2	L
27 Aug	Brislington FC	H	4–1	W

Ellesmere Rangers FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Sep	FK Ventspils	A	1–0	W
13 Sep	Aberdeen FC	A	0–2	L
10 Sep	Sweden	H	4–3	W
03 Sep	Baffins Milton Rovers FC	A	1–0	W
29 Aug	FC Pyunik Yerevan	H	1–2	L
27 Aug	KS Luftetari Gjirokaster	A	1–2	L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' FK Ventspils have kicked off against Ellesmere Rangers FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
Ellesmere Rangers FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

FK Ventspils Lineups

Ellesmere Rangers FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 3

1.03 FK Ventspils xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.92 Ellesmere Rangers FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 69% + FK Ventspils or Draw 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FK Ventspils35% Draw33% Ellesmere Rangers FC32%

Actual: Ellesmere Rangers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes40% 0% No60%

Avg goals/match: 1.95

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	83%	17%
± 1.5	58%	42%
± 2.5	31%	69%
± 3.5	14%	86%
± 4.5	5%	95%

Double Chance

FK Ventspils or Draw

68%

Draw or Ellesmere Rangers FC

65%

FK Ventspils or Ellesmere Rangers FC

67%

Half-Time Result

FK Ventspils24% Draw55% Ellesmere Rangers FC21%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

16.7%

1 – 1

14.4%

1 – 0

13.3%

0 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

7.2%

2 – 1

6.8%

1 – 2

0 – 2

5.7%

2 – 2

3.3%

3 – 0

2.4%

3 – 1

2.4%

1 – 3

1.9%

Asian Handicap — FK Ventspils

Handicap	FK Ventspils covers	Push	Ellesmere Rangers FC covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	10%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	21%	65%
-0.5	35%	—	65%
+0.5	70%	—	30%
+1	70%	19%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	8%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

FK Ventspils keeps clean sheet

40% ✓

Ellesmere Rangers FC keeps clean sheet

36% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.