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EC Bahia vs Chapecoense AF, 2018

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2018
Sun 4 Nov 2018 · 21:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

EC Bahia vs Chapecoense AF — Serie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Flavio Rodrigues De Souza
  • Referee Alex Ang Ribeiro
  • Referee Tatiane Sacilotti Dos Santos Camargo
  • Referee Alberto Poletto Masseira
9 games this season 🟨 2.1/game 7.8 goals/game 🟥 3 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Nov Chapecoense AF H 1–0 W
27 Oct SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–2 L
20 Oct Botafogo FR A 1–0 W
14 Oct Parana Clube H 2–0 W
07 Oct Gremio FBPA A 2–2 D
30 Sep CR Flamengo H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Nov EC Bahia A 0–1 L
27 Oct America FC H 1–0 W
21 Oct Cruzeiro EC A 0–3 L
14 Oct EC Vitoria H 0–1 L
06 Oct CA Mineiro H 1–0 W
30 Sep Ceará SC A 1–3 L

Season Stats

EC Bahia Chapecoense AF
#5 Position #20
33 Points 10
22 Played 21
8 / 9 / 5 W / D / L 1 / 7 / 13
29 Scored 20
25 Conceded 43
+4 GD -23
1.50 PPG 0.48
36% Win % 5%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
11% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
41% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
10% Clean Sheets
Chapecoense AF this season

EC Bahia are 5th (33 pts). Chapecoense AF are 20th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Chapecoense AF
0-15
/3
16-30
2/6
31-45
1/5
46-60
2/4
61-75
/3
76+
4/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 7 G 1 A
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A
Chapecoense AF
Walter Clar 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — EC Bahia and Chapecoense AF get this one started.
  • 5' EC Bahia looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Rodrigo Nestor scoring 1 goals.
  • 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Chapecoense AF is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 15' It looks surprising EC Bahia does not make any changes. Leo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 20' Hector Canteros is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Chapecoense AF so far.
  • 25' Gregore needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 30' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 35' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Claudinei Oliveira will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 45' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 50' A quiet spell here at . Chapecoense AF seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 55' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 60' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both EC Bahia and Chapecoense AF are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 65' Brazil international Jackson has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 70' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both EC Bahia and Chapecoense AF are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 75' Chapecoense AF are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 80' It’s high time Claudinei Oliveira made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 85' EC Bahia seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 90' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 1-0 the final result. Chapecoense AF will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.86 EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.59 Chapecoense AF xG
I would bet for: EC Bahia to win 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Bahia64% Draw23% Chapecoense AF13%
Actual: EC Bahia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

EC Bahia or Draw
87%
Draw or Chapecoense AF
36%
EC Bahia or Chapecoense AF
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Bahia46% Draw45% Chapecoense AF9%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
14.6%
0 – 0
10.5%
1 – 1
10%
3 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
8.5%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 1
4.2%
4 – 0
4.2%
1 – 2
2.6%
4 – 1
2.6%
2 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — EC Bahia

Handicap EC Bahia covers Push Chapecoense AF covers
-2.5 20% 80%
-2 20% 21% 59%
-1.5 41% 59%
-1 41% 26% 33%
-0.5 67% 33%
+0.5 90% 10%
+1 90% 7% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
56%
Chapecoense AF keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.