Thursday , 2 July 2026

Croatia vs Denmark, Worldcup 2018 ROUND OF 16

FIFA World Cup · 2018
1 1
3 – 2 pen
Full Time
Sun 1 Jul 2018 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Croatia vs DenmarkWorldcup .

  • Croatia 3 games · 6 pts (2026/26)
  • Denmark 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

  • Referee Hernan Maidana
  • Referee Juan Pablo Belatti
  • Referee Mauro Vigliano
  • Referee Nestor Pitana
  • Referee Daniele Orsato
  • Referee Roberto Diaz
  • Referee Gery Vargas
  • Referee Enrique Caceres
  • Referee Eduardo Cardozo

Head-to-Head

1
Croatia 1 games · Avg 2.0 goals Denmark

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jul Denmark H 1–1 D
26 Jun Iceland A 2–1 W
21 Jun Argentina A 3–0 W
16 Jun Nigeria H 2–0 W
05 May Belgium A 0–3 L
28 Apr Slovakia H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jul Croatia A 1–1 D
26 Jun France H 0–0 D
21 Jun Australia H 1–1 D
16 Jun Peru A 1–0 W
25 Oct TuS Dassendorf H 0–4 L
20 Aug BSG Chemie Leipzig H 4–3 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
Croatia this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Croatia
0-15
/1
16-30
/
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Croatia and Denmark is underway.
  • 1' Denmark is taking the lead after the goal scored by Mathias Jorgensen on 1.
  • 4' What an equalizer from Mario Mandzukic!
  • 9' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ivan Rakitic suffering a number of foals already.
  • 14' The travelling Denmark supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 19' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 24' It looks surprising Croatia does not make any changes. Yussuf Poulsen has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 29' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 34' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 39' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ante Rebic made 166 appearances and scored 48 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 44' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Lasse Schone. He replaces Andreas Christensen on 46 minute.
  • 51' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 56' Croatia started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 56.
  • 61' Nicolai Jorgensen has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 66' Another substitution for Denmark to replace Andreas Cornelius by Nicolai Jorgensen on 66 minute.
  • 71' The whistle greets Marcelo Brozovic as he departs to be replaced by Mateo Kovacic.
  • 76' It looks like no one’s ball. Croatia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 81' Another substitution for Croatia to replace Ivan Strinic by Josip Pivaric on 81 minute.
  • 86' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.15 Croatia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 Denmark xG
I would bet for: Croatia or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Croatia40% Draw30% Denmark30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.19
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Croatia or Draw
70%
Draw or Denmark
60%
Croatia or Denmark
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Croatia26% Draw52% Denmark22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
13.5%
1 – 0
11.7%
0 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
7.5%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 1
2.9%
3 – 0
2.7%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Croatia

Handicap Croatia covers Push Denmark covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 21% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 19% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Croatia keeps clean sheet
36%
Denmark keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.