Thursday , 2 July 2026

Cray Valley Paper Mills FC vs Merstham FC, FA Cup 2018-19 1ST QUALIFYING ROUND REPLAYS

FA Cup · 2018-19
3 3
4 – 1 pen
Full Time
Wed 12 Sep 2018 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Cray Valley Paper Mills FC vs Merstham FCFA Cup .

Head-to-Head

2
Cray Valley Paper Mills FC 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Merstham FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Sep Merstham FC H 3–3 D
08 Sep Merstham FC A 0–0 D
26 Aug Ashford Town FC H 4–1 W
12 Aug Eastbourne Town FC H 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Sep Cray Valley Paper Mills FC A 3–3 D
08 Sep Cray Valley Paper Mills FC H 0–0 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Merstham FC kicks off things out of here…
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-3.

Lineups

Cray Valley Paper Mills FC Lineups

Merstham FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 3
1.96 Cray Valley Paper Mills FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.65 Merstham FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 69% + Over 2.5 goals 69%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Cray Valley Paper Mills FC46% Draw24% Merstham FC30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.61
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

Cray Valley Paper Mills FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Merstham FC
54%
Cray Valley Paper Mills FC or Merstham FC
76%

Half-Time Result

Cray Valley Paper Mills FC34% Draw40% Merstham FC26%

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
5.4%
2 – 0
5.3%
1 – 0
4.8%
3 – 2
4.4%
0 – 0
4.1%
0 – 1
3.9%
1 – 3
3.8%
0 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Cray Valley Paper Mills FC

Handicap Cray Valley Paper Mills FC covers Push Merstham FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 13% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 19% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 16% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Cray Valley Paper Mills FC keeps clean sheet
20%
Merstham FC keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.