Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Cray Valley Paper Mills FC vs Merstham FC, FA Cup 2018-19 1ST QUALIFYING ROUND REPLAYS

FA Cup · 2018-19
3 – 3
4 – 1 pen
Full Time
Wed 12 Sep 2018 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Cray Valley Paper Mills FC vs Merstham FC — FA Cup .

Head-to-Head

2
Cray Valley Paper Mills FC 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Merstham FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Sep Merstham FC H 3–3 D
08 Sep Merstham FC A 0–0 D
26 Aug Ashford Town FC H 4–1 W
12 Aug Eastbourne Town FC H 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Sep Cray Valley Paper Mills FC A 3–3 D
08 Sep Cray Valley Paper Mills FC H 0–0 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Cray Valley Paper Mills FC to score. At the same time, Merstham FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • Game over. The scoreline of 3-3 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Cray Valley Paper Mills FC Lineups

Merstham FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 3
1.96 Cray Valley Paper Mills FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.65 Merstham FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 69% + Over 2.5 goals 69%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Cray Valley Paper Mills FC46% Draw24% Merstham FC30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.61
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

Cray Valley Paper Mills FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Merstham FC
54%
Cray Valley Paper Mills FC or Merstham FC
76%

Half-Time Result

Cray Valley Paper Mills FC34% Draw40% Merstham FC26%

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
5.4%
2 – 0
5.3%
1 – 0
4.8%
3 – 2
4.4%
0 – 0
4.1%
0 – 1
3.9%
1 – 3
3.8%
0 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Cray Valley Paper Mills FC

Handicap Cray Valley Paper Mills FC covers Push Merstham FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 13% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 19% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 16% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Cray Valley Paper Mills FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
Merstham FC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.