Colombia vs Paraguay, Copa Sudamericana 2024 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Colombia vs Paraguay — Copa Sudamericana .
Match Details
- Referee Anderson Daronco
- Referee Alexis Herrera
- Referee Johnny Bossio
- Referee Victor Raez
- Referee Victor Carrillo
7 games this season
🟨 2.3/game
⚽ 9.9 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for Colombia and Paraguay.
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 10' Colombia is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 20' Colombia are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Paraguay's shape.
- 25' Paraguay is showing some good football. However, Paraguay are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 29' The referee has no hesitation. Cristian Borja is booked for Colombia — Yellow card on 29.
- 31' Gustavo Cuellar is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 36' Edwin Cardona has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 175 appearances.
- 41' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Derlis Gonzalez made 285 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 42' Jhon Lucumi has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 42.
- 46' Cecilio Dominguez is replacing Matias Rojas for the Paraguay side.
- 49' The referee shows Paraguay player a Yellow card on 49.
- 54' Cristian Zapata is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Paraguay so far.
- 58' The Colombia bench stirs into life. Juan Cuadrado is withdrawn and James Rodriguez gets his opportunity.
- 63' Another substitution for Paraguay to replace Rodrigo Rojas by Juan Iturbe on 63 minute.
- 66' The Colombia manager makes a substitution. Radamel Falcao departs to be replaced by Duvan Zapata.
- 69' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Luis Diaz makes it 2-0.
- 74' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Colombia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 79' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Colombia and Paraguay are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 82' Time for substitution for Paraguay. Derlis Gonzalez is replaced by Oscar Romero.
- 85' Colombia make a change. Edwin Cardona trudges off to be replaced by Wilmar Barrios on 85 minutes.
- 90' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Matias Rojas suffering a number of foals already.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Colombia 1-0 Paraguay.
Lineups
Colombia Lineups
Starting XI
- 18
- 16
-
9
Radamel Falcao C ↓ Duvan Zapata 66'
- 4
-
11
Juan Cuadrado ↓ James Rodriguez 58'
- 2
- 21
- 14
- 17
-
8
Edwin Cardona ↓ Wilmar Barrios 85'
- 22
Bench
- 13
- 23
-
10
James Rodriguez ↑ 58'
-
7
Duvan Zapata ↑ 66'
-
5
Wilmar Barrios ↑ 85'
- 15
- 6
- 12
- 3
- 20
Coach
Carlos Queiroz
Paraguay Lineups
Starting XI
- 12
- 15
- 13
-
10
Derlis Gonzalez ↓ Oscar Romero 82'
- 2
- 23
- 20
-
8
Rodrigo Rojas ↓ Juan Iturbe 63'
- 18
- 7
- 6
Bench
- 4
- 17
- 9
- 1
- 22
- 5
- 3
- 16
-
19
Cecilio Dominguez ↑ 46'
-
21
Oscar Romero ↑ 82'
- 14
-
11
Juan Iturbe ↑ 63'
Coach
Eduardo Berizzo
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.17
Colombia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.64
Paraguay xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 73% + Under — clean sheet likely 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Colombia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.81
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 1.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 2.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 3.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
| ± 4.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
Double Chance
Colombia or Draw
82%
Draw or Paraguay
49%
Colombia or Paraguay
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Colombia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
18.8%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.1%
2 – 0
10.6%
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
7.1%
3 – 0
4.1%
1 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.1%
3 – 1
2.9%
2 – 2
2.4%
4 – 0
1.2%
Asian Handicap — Colombia
| Handicap | Colombia covers | Push | Paraguay covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 14% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 26% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 14% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Colombia keeps clean sheet
53%
✓
Paraguay keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.