Colombia vs Ecuador, Copa Sudamericana 2024 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Colombia vs Ecuador — Copa Sudamericana at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin.
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Colombia get us underway at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin.
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 15' Juan Cuadrado is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Ecuador so far.
- 20' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 25' A moment of madness from Mateus Uribe on 25 minutes earns him a card. Colombia will be frustrated.
- 30' The travelling Ecuador supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 35' Pedro Ortiz, a Ecuador , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 40' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 42' Edwin Cardona is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 45' Colombia make a change. Yairo Moreno trudges off to be replaced by William Tesillo on 45 minutes.
- 50' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 55' Wilmar Barrios has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 22 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 59' A change in the Ecuador ranks — Fidel Martinez exits the field as Angel Mena enters on 59.
- 61' Colombia ring the changes. Mateus Uribe has done his job and it is now time for Sebastian Perez to step up.
- 66' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 69' Jordy Caicedo gets the nod from Ecuador. He replaces Michael Estrada and will look to change the dynamic.
- 74' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 79' That is a card for Colombia. Daniel Munoz will be fuming at that decision.
- 80' Damian Diaz is ready to make an impact after coming on for Moises Caicedo at the 80 minute mark.
- 82' Gustavo Cuellar gets the nod from Colombia. He replaces Edwin Cardona and will look to change the dynamic.
- 87' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Enner Valencia on 87 minutes.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Rafael Santos Borre on 90.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Colombia players.
Lineups
Colombia Lineups
Starting XI
-
19
Miguel Borja ↓ Duvan Zapata 61'
- 13
- 11
- 1
- 5
-
15
Mateus Uribe ↓ Sebastian Perez 61'
-
10
Edwin Cardona ↓ Gustavo Cuellar 82'
- 3
-
17
Yairo Moreno ↓ William Tesillo 45'
- 16
- 18
Bench
-
8
Gustavo Cuellar ↑ 82'
-
23
Davinson Sanchez ↑ 82'
- 9
-
7
Duvan Zapata ↑ 61'
- 14
-
6
William Tesillo ↑ 45'
- 20
- 12
- 2
- 22
-
21
Sebastian Perez ↑ 61'
- 25
Ecuador Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 7
- 20
- 13
-
19
Gonzalo Plata ↓ Ayrton Preciado 69'
- 12
- 17
-
11
Michael Estrada ↓ Jordy Caicedo 69'
-
8
Fidel Martinez ↓ Angel Mena 59'
- 3
-
23
Moises Caicedo ↓ Damian Diaz 80'
Bench
- 6
- 22
- 14
-
18
Ayrton Preciado ↑ 69'
-
15
Angel Mena ↑ 59'
- 9
-
26
Jordy Caicedo ↑ 69'
- 16
- 2
- 21
- 1
-
10
Damian Diaz ↑ 80'
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.32
Colombia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.55
Ecuador xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 71% + Under — clean sheet likely 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Colombia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.87
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 1.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 2.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 3.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
| ± 4.5 | 5% |
|
95% |
Double Chance
Colombia or Draw
85%
Draw or Ecuador
44%
Colombia or Ecuador
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Colombia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
17.8%
2 – 0
12.9%
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 1
7.2%
3 – 0
5.6%
3 – 1
3.3%
1 – 2
2.9%
0 – 2
2.1%
2 – 2
2.1%
4 – 0
1.9%
Asian Handicap — Colombia
| Handicap | Colombia covers | Push | Ecuador covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 17% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 28% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 11% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Colombia keeps clean sheet
58%
✓
Ecuador keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.