Chile vs Paraguay, Copa Sudamericana 2024 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Chile vs Paraguay — Copa Sudamericana at Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes.
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
0%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
H2H (1 games)
0%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes will turn into a battlefield for Chile and Paraguay.
- 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Chile must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 10' Chile have won 11 goals from 11 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 15' Chile international Tomas Alarcon has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 20' Chile started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
- 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
- 30' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 33' The deadlock is broken! Braian Samudio gets on the scoresheet on 33 minutes.
- 38' A quiet spell here at Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes. Paraguay seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 43' Chile are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 45' That is a card for Chile. Ben Brereton will be fuming at that decision.
- 46' Jean Meneses is replacing Tomas Alarcon for the Chile side.
- 51' With 0 assists to his name this season, Gary Medel is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Paraguay.
- 56' That looks like a foul for a card for Gary Medel.
- 58' Miguel Almiron adds to his 4 season tally! Paraguay lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
- 58' Chile receives a card for a hard tackle on 58.
- 62' The whistle greets Braian Samudio as he departs to be replaced by Angel Romero.
- 67' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Chile needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 68' The whistle greets Cesar Pinares as he departs to be replaced by Pablo Galdames.
- 73' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 77' Time for substitution for Paraguay. Carlos Gonzalez is replaced by Oscar Romero.
- 78' Poor challenge from Hector Martinez. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 83' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Chile and Paraguay are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 84' A change in the Paraguay ranks — Angel Lucena exits the field as Gaston Gimenez enters on 84.
- 89' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- Paraguay celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Chile Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 1
- 22
- 20
- 8
- 6
-
17
Gary Medel ↓ Enzo Roco 68'
- 2
-
7
Cesar Pinares ↓ Pablo Galdames 68'
- 11
-
19
Tomas Alarcon ↓ Jean Meneses 46'
Bench
-
5
Enzo Roco ↑ 68'
- 12
-
14
Pablo Galdames ↑ 68'
- 18
-
9
Jean Meneses ↑ 46'
- 16
- 28
- 23
- 26
- 25
- 24
Paraguay Lineups
Starting XI
- 15
- 6
- 10
- 1
- 19
-
7
Carlos Gonzalez ↓ Oscar Romero 77'
-
18
Braian Samudio ↓ Angel Romero 62'
- 23
- 13
- 24
-
16
Angel Lucena ↓ Gaston Gimenez 84'
Bench
-
11
Angel Romero ↑ 62'
- 4
-
3
Omar Alderete ↑ 84'
-
5
Gaston Gimenez ↑ 84'
- 2
- 12
-
21
Oscar Romero ↑ 77'
- 8
- 17
- 22
-
20
Antonio Bareiro ↑ 77'
- 28
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.79
Chile xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29
Paraguay xG
I would bet for:
Paraguay or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Paraguay win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.08
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 2.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
Chile or Draw
56%
Draw or Paraguay
75%
Chile or Paraguay
69%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Paraguay win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
15%
0 – 0
14.9%
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
8.6%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 1
4.8%
0 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
3.5%
2 – 2
3.3%
2 – 3
1.5%
Asian Handicap — Chile
| Handicap | Chile covers | Push | Paraguay covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 14% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 25% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Chile keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Paraguay keeps clean sheet
46%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.