Thursday , 2 July 2026

Chapecoense AF vs Fluminense FC, 2018

Campeonato Brasileiro da Serie A · 2018
Sun 22 Oct 2017 · 21:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Chapecoense AF vs Fluminense FC — Serie A .

Head-to-Head

1
3
6
Chapecoense AF 10 games · Avg 3.2 goals Fluminense FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Oct Fluminense FC H 2–0 W
19 Oct CA Mineiro A 3–2 W
15 Oct CR Flamengo H 0–1 L
12 Oct Botafogo FR A 1–2 L
30 Sep CR Vasco da Gama A 1–1 D
17 Sep Grêmio FBPA A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Oct Chapecoense AF A 0–2 L
19 Oct Sao Paulo FC H 3–1 W
12 Oct CR Flamengo A 1–1 D
24 Sep SE Palmeiras H 0–1 L
17 Sep CA Paranaense A 1–3 L
10 Sep EC Vitoria A 2–2 D

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Chapecoense AF Lineups

Fluminense FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.64 Chapecoense AF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.03 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Chapecoense AF53% Draw26% Fluminense FC21%
Actual: Chapecoense AF win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Chapecoense AF or Draw
78%
Draw or Fluminense FC
47%
Chapecoense AF or Fluminense FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Chapecoense AF36% Draw46% Fluminense FC18%
Actual: Chapecoense AF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
10.5%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
8.9%
0 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Chapecoense AF

Handicap Chapecoense AF covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 23% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Chapecoense AF keeps clean sheet
36%
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.