Cerezo Osaka FC vs Tōkyō Verdy, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cerezo Osaka FC vs Tōkyō Verdy — J. League at Yodoko Sakura Stadium.
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Tōkyō Verdy 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun | Tōkyō Verdy | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Jun | FC Tōkyō | A | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Jun | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 4–2 | W |
| 28 May | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 0–0 | D |
| 24 May | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 May | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Jun | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 0–3 | L |
| 31 May | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 May | Kyōto Sanga FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 17 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 May | Shonan Bellmare | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Cerezo Osaka FC | Tōkyō Verdy | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #15 |
| 31 | Points | 28 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 11 / 0 / 7 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 48 | Scored | 29 |
| 38 | Conceded | 32 |
| +10 | GD | -3 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.56 |
| 61% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Tōkyō Verdy this season
Tōkyō Verdy this season
Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts). Tōkyō Verdy are 15th (28 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Tōkyō Verdy
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/1
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Cerezo Osaka FC have kicked off against Tokyo Verdy. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. Cerezo Osaka FC and Tokyo Verdy are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kyohei Noborizato made 440 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 20' Rafael Ratao adds to his 0 season tally! Cerezo Osaka FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 25' It’s high time Arthur Papas made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 30' Cerezo Osaka FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Tokyo Verdy's shape.
- 35' Tokyo Verdy is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 40' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 45' Tokyo Verdy are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 46' The Cerezo Osaka FC bench stirs into life. Vitor Bueno is withdrawn and Motohiko Nakajima gets his opportunity.
- 47' Shuhei Kawasaki doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 52' Thiago Andrade is having his name booked by the referee on 52.
- 57' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Arthur Papas will be considering his options from the bench.
- 59' Yuta Arai makes way for Yudai Kimura at the 59 minute mark. A tactical switch from Tokyo Verdy.
- 62' Brilliant from the ! Thiago Andrade makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 62.
- 67' It looks like no one’s ball. Tokyo Verdy is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 70' Itsuki Someno has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yuya Fukuda on 70 minute.
- 75' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Cerezo Osaka FC that had 370 games and scored 396 goals.
- 77' Cerezo Osaka FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Shion Homma is hanging Thiago Andrade on the field on 77 minute.
- 82' Cerezo Osaka FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Tokyo Verdy backline.
- 87' Tokyo Verdy is showing some good football. However, Tokyo Verdy are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 90' Cerezo Osaka FC ring the changes. Shinji Kagawa has done his job and it is now time for Kyohei Yoshino to step up.
- Cerezo Osaka FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 77
-
8
Shinji Kagawa ↓ Kyohei Yoshino 90'
- 6
- 44
-
9
Rafael Ratao ↓ Masaya Shibayama 90'
-
5
Hinata Kida ↓ Shunta Tanaka 46'
- 33
-
55
Vitor Bueno ↓ Motohiko Nakajima 46'
-
11
Thiago Andrade ↓ Shion Homma 77'
- 16
- 1
Bench
- –
-
35
Kyohei Yoshino ↑ 90'
-
13
Motohiko Nakajima ↑ 46'
-
10
Shunta Tanaka ↑ 46'
- 21
- 17
-
19
Shion Homma ↑ 77'
-
48
Masaya Shibayama ↑ 90'
- 22
Coach
Arthur Papas
Tōkyō Verdy Lineups
Starting XI
-
16
Rei Hirakawa ↓ Soma Meshino 77'
-
22
Hijiri Onaga ↓ Issei Kumatoriya 77'
-
14
Yuya Fukuda ↓ Itsuki Someno 70'
- 6
- 7
- 1
-
37
Shuhei Kawasaki ↓ Kosuke Saito 59'
- 2
- 3
- 23
-
40
Yuta Arai ↓ Yudai Kimura 59'
Bench
-
8
Kosuke Saito ↑ 59'
-
9
Itsuki Someno ↑ 70'
- 15
- 19
- 21
-
10
Yudai Kimura ↑ 59'
-
20
Soma Meshino ↑ 77'
- 17
-
25
Issei Kumatoriya ↑ 77'
Coach
Hiroshi Jofuku
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Leo Ceara | 2 |
| Shinji Kagawa | 1 |
| Yudai Kimura | 1 |
| Hiroto Yamami | 1 |
| Yuta Arai | 1 |
| Rafael Ratao | 1 |
| Thiago Andrade | 1 |
| Shuhei Kawasaki | 1 |
Head to Head
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.14
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23
Tōkyō Verdy xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.37
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Tōkyō Verdy
42%
Cerezo Osaka FC or Tōkyō Verdy
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.9%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 0
6.8%
3 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
4.1%
4 – 1
3.6%
0 – 1
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC
| Handicap | Cerezo Osaka FC covers | Push | Tōkyō Verdy covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 17% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 21% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 12% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Tōkyō Verdy keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.