Cerezo Osaka FC vs Shonan Bellmare, 2017

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Primeira Liga 2017/18 · 2017

Cerezo Osaka FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Shonan Bellmare

Sun 8 Apr 2018 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Cerezo Osaka FC vs Shonan Bellmare — Primeira Liga .

Cerezo Osaka FC 0 games · 0 pts
Shonan Bellmare 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Cerezo Osaka FC 2.20

Draw 3.00

Shonan Bellmare 3.60

Head-to-Head

Cerezo Osaka FC 20 games · Avg 2.4 goals Shonan Bellmare

Last 5 meetings

2018-04-08 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare 2018-03-31 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Shonan Bellmare 2017-11-24 Shonan Bellmare 0–1 Cerezo Osaka FC 2017-03-05 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC 2016-10-01 Cerezo Osaka FC 3–1 Shonan Bellmare

Recent Form

Cerezo Osaka FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Apr	Shonan Bellmare	H	1–1	D
07 Apr	Sagan Tosu FC	H	2–1	W
31 Mar	Shonan Bellmare	H	2–1	W
31 Mar	Shimizu S-Pulse	A	0–2	L
18 Mar	Vissel Kobe	A	0–2	L
18 Mar	Jubilo Iwata	H	1–4	L

Shonan Bellmare

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Apr	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–1	D
07 Apr	Kashima Antlers	H	2–1	W
02 Apr	Kashima Antlers	H	2–0	W
31 Mar	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	1–2	L
18 Mar	FC Tōkyō	A	0–1	L
18 Mar	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	1–2	L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

35% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Cerezo Osaka FC to score. At the same time, Shonan Bellmare does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
It finishes all square. Cerezo Osaka FC and Shonan Bellmare share the spoils 1-1.

Lineups

Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups

Shonan Bellmare Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Akito Suzuki	5
Hiroshi Kiyotake	3
Leo Ceara	3
Hiroaki Okuno	2
Shota Kobayashi	2
Yuki Ohashi	2
Rafael Ratao	1
Jean Patric	1

Head to Head

Cerezo Osaka FC Form

2018-04-08 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare D 2018-04-07 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC W 2018-03-31 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Shonan Bellmare W 2018-03-31 Shimizu S-Pulse 2–0 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2018-03-18 Vissel Kobe 2–0 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2018-03-18 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–4 Jubilo Iwata L

Shonan Bellmare Form

2018-04-08 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Shonan Bellmare D 2018-04-07 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Kashima Antlers W 2018-04-02 Shonan Bellmare 2–0 Kashima Antlers W 2018-03-31 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–1 Shonan Bellmare L 2018-03-18 FC Tōkyō 1–0 Shonan Bellmare L 2018-03-18 Urawa Red Diamonds 2–1 Shonan Bellmare L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.44 Cerezo Osaka FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.09 Shonan Bellmare xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Cerezo Osaka FC46% Draw28% Shonan Bellmare26%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes51% 0% No49%

Avg goals/match: 2.53

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	72%	28%
± 2.5	46%	54%
± 3.5	25%	75%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw

73%

Draw or Shonan Bellmare

54%

Cerezo Osaka FC or Shonan Bellmare

72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Cerezo Osaka FC31% Draw48% Shonan Bellmare21%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

10.4%

0 – 0

10.1%

2 – 1

8.7%

2 – 0

0 – 1

7.6%

1 – 2

6.5%

2 – 2

4.8%

0 – 2

4.6%

3 – 1

4.2%

3 – 0

3.8%

1 – 3

2.4%

Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC

Handicap	Cerezo Osaka FC covers	Push	Shonan Bellmare covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	13%	78%
-1.5	22%	—	78%
-1	22%	22%	56%
-0.5	44%	—	56%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	16%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	8%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

Shonan Bellmare keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.