Sunday , 16 August 2026

Carlisle United FC vs Fleetwood Town FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 5 Aug 2023 · 14:00 UTC Brunton Park 10,279 HT 45' · FT 45'
Owen Moxon 36' 1–0

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
Carlisle United FC 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Fleetwood Town FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Aug Fleetwood Town FC H 1–1 D
26 Nov Walsall FC A 1–2 L
05 Nov Tranmere Rovers FC H 2–1 W
06 Nov Horsham FC H 2–0 W
29 Nov Doncaster Rovers FC H 1–2 L
08 Nov Hayes & Yeading United FC A 2–2 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.28 Carlisle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Fleetwood Town FC xG
I would bet for: Carlisle United FC or Fleetwood Town FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Carlisle United FC40% Draw30% Fleetwood Town FC30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Carlisle United FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Fleetwood Town FC
60%
Carlisle United FC or Fleetwood Town FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Carlisle United FC28% Draw50% Fleetwood Town FC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.6%
1 – 0
11%
0 – 1
9%
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 2
5.3%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Carlisle United FC

Handicap Carlisle United FC covers Push Fleetwood Town FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 21% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 18% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
35%
Fleetwood Town FC keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.