Thursday , 1 October 2026

Carlisle United FC vs Exeter City FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 19 Aug 2023 · 14:00 UTC Brunton Park 7,610 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 68' Ryan Trevitt
0–2 81' Demetri Mitchell

Overview

Match Preview

Carlisle United FC vs Exeter City FC — League One at Brunton Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Adam Herczeg
  • Assistant 1 Graeme Fyvie
  • Assistant 2 Mark Cunliffe
5 games this season 🟨 3.2/game ⚽ 11.8 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
Carlisle United FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Exeter City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug Exeter City FC H 0–2 L
15 Aug Wigan Athletic FC H 1–1 D
12 Aug Oxford United FC A 0–1 L
05 Aug Fleetwood Town FC H 1–1 D
26 Nov Walsall FC A 1–2 L
05 Nov Tranmere Rovers FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug Carlisle United FC A 2–0 W
15 Aug Portsmouth FC A 0–1 L
12 Aug Blackpool FC H 0–0 D
05 Aug Wycombe Wanderers FC A 3–0 W
07 May Morecambe FC H 3–2 W
29 Apr Ipswich Town FC A 0–6 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.98 Carlisle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35 Exeter City FC xG
I would bet for: Exeter City FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Carlisle United FC28% Draw30% Exeter City FC42%
Actual: Exeter City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.33
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Carlisle United FC or Draw
58%
Draw or Exeter City FC
72%
Carlisle United FC or Exeter City FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Carlisle United FC19% Draw50% Exeter City FC31%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 1
12%
0 – 0
11.9%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.4%
1 – 0
8.3%
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 0
4.5%
2 – 2
4.2%
1 – 3
3.8%
0 – 3
3.8%
3 – 1
2%

Asian Handicap — Carlisle United FC

Handicap Carlisle United FC covers Push Exeter City FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 16% 74%
-0.5 26% — 74%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 23% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Carlisle United FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Exeter City FC keeps clean sheet
38% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.