Thursday , 2 July 2026

Cardiff City FC vs Leyton Orient FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2025-26
Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Cardiff City FC vs Leyton Orient FCLeague One .

Match Details

  • Referee Matthew Corlett (England)
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.0 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
Cardiff City FC 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals Leyton Orient FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Leyton Orient FC H 4–3 W
30 Sep Burton Albion FC H 0–1 L
27 Sep Wigan Athletic FC A 2–0 W
20 Sep Bradford City AFC H 1–3 L
13 Sep Stockport County FC A 1–1 D
30 Aug Plymouth Argyle FC H 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Cardiff City FC A 3–4 L
27 Sep Stevenage FC H 2–3 L
20 Sep Reading FC A 1–2 L
13 Sep Bolton Wanderers FC H 1–1 D
06 Sep Port Vale FC A 3–2 W
30 Aug Northampton Town FC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Cardiff City FC Leyton Orient FC
#2 Position #20
91 Points 52
46 Played 46
27 / 10 / 9 W / D / L 14 / 10 / 22
90 Scored 59
50 Conceded 71
+40 GD -12
1.98 PPG 1.13
59% Win % 30%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Cardiff City FC are 2nd (91 pts). Leyton Orient FC are 20th (52 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Cardiff City FC Lineups

Leyton Orient FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.93 Cardiff City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.8 Leyton Orient FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cardiff City FC59% Draw19% Leyton Orient FC22%
Actual: Cardiff City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes78% 0% No22%
Avg goals/match: 4.73
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 95%
5%
± 2.5 84%
16%
± 3.5 68%
32%
± 4.5 50%
50%

Double Chance

Cardiff City FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Leyton Orient FC
41%
Cardiff City FC or Leyton Orient FC
81%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Cardiff City FC46% Draw33% Leyton Orient FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–3 not predicted
4 – 3
Actual
2 – 1
6.8%
3 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
6%
3 – 2
5.7%
1 – 1
5.4%
4 – 1
4.7%
1 – 2
4.2%
4 – 2
4.2%
2 – 0
4%
3 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
3.6%
3 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Cardiff City FC

Handicap Cardiff City FC covers Push Leyton Orient FC covers
-2.5 25% 75%
-2 25% 17% 59%
-1.5 41% 59%
-1 41% 18% 40%
-0.5 60% 40%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 11% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 6% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
17%
Leyton Orient FC keeps clean sheet
6%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.