Cagliari Calcio vs NEROCA FC, 2015

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Serie A 2015/16 · 2015

Cagliari Calcio

5 – 2

Full Time

NEROCA FC

Thu 11 Feb 2016 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Cagliari Calcio vs NEROCA FC — Serie A .

Cagliari Calcio 0 games · 0 pts
NEROCA FC 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Cagliari Calcio 1.50

Draw 4.33

NEROCA FC 6.00

Head-to-Head

Cagliari Calcio 6 games · Avg 3.2 goals NEROCA FC

Last 5 meetings

2016-02-11 Cagliari Calcio 5–2 NEROCA FC 2015-09-27 NEROCA FC 1–2 Cagliari Calcio 2015-03-22 Cagliari Calcio 2–0 NEROCA FC 2014-10-30 NEROCA FC 1–1 Cagliari Calcio

Recent Form

Cagliari Calcio

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Feb	NEROCA FC	H	5–2	W
06 Feb	ACF Fiorentina	A	0–0	D
03 Feb	Churchill Brothers SC	H	0–2	L
31 Jan	Genoa CFC	A	0–0	D
24 Jan	UC Sampdoria	H	4–1	W
17 Jan	SPAL 2013	A	2–2	D

NEROCA FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Feb	Cagliari Calcio	A	2–5	L
07 Feb	Udinese Calcio	H	3–3	D
03 Feb	AC Chievo Verona	H	2–1	W
31 Jan	Parma Calcio 1913	A	0–0	D
24 Jan	ACF Fiorentina	H	1–1	D
17 Jan	SS Lazio	A	1–1	D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Cagliari Calcio to score. At the same time, NEROCA FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
It finishes all square. Cagliari Calcio and NEROCA FC share the spoils 5-2.

Lineups

Cagliari Calcio Lineups

NEROCA FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.07 Cagliari Calcio xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.2 NEROCA FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 62% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Cagliari Calcio57% Draw23% NEROCA FC20%

Actual: Cagliari Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes61% 0% No39%

Avg goals/match: 3.27

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	62%	38%
± 3.5	41%	59%
± 4.5	23%	77%

Double Chance

Cagliari Calcio or Draw

80%

Draw or NEROCA FC

43%

Cagliari Calcio or NEROCA FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Cagliari Calcio41% Draw41% NEROCA FC18%

Actual: Cagliari Calcio win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–2 not predicted

5 – 2

Actual

1 – 1

10.3%

2 – 1

9.4%

2 – 0

8.1%

1 – 0

7.3%

3 – 1

6.5%

2 – 2

5.6%

1 – 2

5.5%

3 – 0

5.5%

0 – 0

5.3%

3 – 2

3.9%

0 – 1

3.9%

4 – 1

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Cagliari Calcio

Handicap	Cagliari Calcio covers	Push	NEROCA FC covers
-2.5	17%	—	83%
-2	17%	17%	66%
-1.5	34%	—	66%
-1	34%	22%	44%
-0.5	56%	—	44%
+0.5	79%	—	21%
+1	79%	12%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

NEROCA FC keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.