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CR Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense FC, 2018

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2018
Thu 19 Jul 2018 · 23:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CR Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense FC — Serie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Bruno Salgado Rizo
  • Referee Fabio Rogerio Baesteiro
  • Referee Daniel Paulo Ziolli
  • Referee Marcelo Aparecido Ribeiro De Souza

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jul Fluminense FC H 1–1 D
14 Jun SC Internacional A 1–3 L
14 Jun Sport Club Internacional A 1–3 L
10 Jun SC Recife H 3–2 W
09 Jun SC Recife H 3–2 W
07 Jun Cruzeiro EC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jul CR Vasco da Gama A 1–1 D
14 Jun Santos FC H 0–1 L
13 Jun Santos FC H 0–1 L
10 Jun CA Mineiro A 2–5 L
10 Jun CA Mineiro A 2–5 L
08 Jun CR Flamengo H 0–2 L

Season Stats

CR Vasco da Gama Fluminense FC
#18 Position #4
22 Points 38
21 Played 23
5 / 7 / 9 W / D / L 10 / 8 / 5
23 Scored 34
31 Conceded 28
-8 GD +6
1.05 PPG 1.65
24% Win % 43%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
19% Clean Sheets
CR Vasco da Gama this season
22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

CR Vasco da Gama are 18th (22 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (38 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CR Vasco da Gama
0-15
/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/4
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
9/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CR Vasco da Gama
Carlos Gomez 4 G 2 A
Thiago Mendes 3 G 1 A
Cauan Lucas 3 G
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 2 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. CR Vasco da Gama get us underway at .
  • 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both CR Vasco da Gama and Fluminense FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Abel Braga will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 15' CR Vasco da Gama started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
  • 20' CR Vasco da Gama has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Marcos Junior made 389 appearances and scored 48 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 30' CR Vasco da Gama currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 35' The 29-year-old Ayrton Lucas has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 40' CR Vasco da Gama are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Fluminense FC's shape.
  • 45' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 50' CR Vasco da Gama have won 288 goals from 289 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 55' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. CR Vasco da Gama needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 60' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fluminense FC that had 389 games and scored 417 goals.
  • 65' Leandro Desabato, a Argentina , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 70' Fluminense FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 75' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both CR Vasco da Gama and Fluminense FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 80' CR Vasco da Gama are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 85' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 90' Both keepers have barely been tested. CR Vasco da Gama and Fluminense FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • It finishes all square. CR Vasco da Gama and Fluminense FC share the spoils 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.77 CR Vasco da Gama xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
CR Vasco da Gama47% Draw24% Fluminense FC29%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.28
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

CR Vasco da Gama or Draw
71%
Draw or Fluminense FC
53%
CR Vasco da Gama or Fluminense FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CR Vasco da Gama32% Draw42% Fluminense FC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 2
6.4%
1 – 0
6%
2 – 0
5.9%
0 – 0
5.3%
3 – 1
5%
0 – 1
5%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 2
3.8%
1 – 3
3.7%

Asian Handicap — CR Vasco da Gama

Handicap CR Vasco da Gama covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 13% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 19% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 16% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

CR Vasco da Gama keeps clean sheet
23%
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.