Saturday , 14 November 2026

Burton Albion FC vs Bristol Rovers FC, League One 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2024-25
Sat 5 Oct 2024 · 14:00 UTC Pirelli Stadium 2,832 HT 45' · FT 45'
Danilo Orsi-Dadomo 15' 1–0
1–1 52' Shaqai Forde
1–2 59' Scott Sinclair
1–3 90+3' Grant Ward

Overview

Match Preview

Burton Albion FC vs Bristol Rovers FC — League One at Pirelli Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Alan Young
  • Assistant 1 Marvyn Amphlett
  • Assistant 2 Timothy Walker (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Bristol Rovers FC H 1–3 L
01 Oct Reading FC A 1–3 L
28 Sep Blackpool FC A 0–3 L
21 Sep Barnsley FC H 1–2 L
14 Sep Rotherham United FC A 2–2 D
31 Aug Northampton Town FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Burton Albion FC A 3–1 W
01 Oct Charlton Athletic FC H 3–2 W
28 Sep Wycombe Wanderers FC H 1–2 L
21 Sep Peterborough United FC A 2–3 L
14 Sep Wigan Athletic FC H 0–4 L
07 Sep Barnsley FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Burton Albion FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
6/3
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/3
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burton Albion FC
Jack Armer 3 G 1 A
Finn Delap 3 G
Matthew Dennis 1 G
Kgaogelo Chauke 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Pirelli Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Burton Albion FC and Bristol Rovers FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Bristol Rovers FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' A goal from the England international Danilo Orsi-Dadomo! He fires home on 15 to make it 1-0!
  • 20' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 25' Clinton Mola has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Charlie Webster, as he is very good at scoring at Pirelli Stadium with 4 goals in the last 4 games.
  • 35' James Wilson is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Bristol Rovers FC tonight.
  • 39' That looks like a foul for a card for Tomas Kalinauskas.
  • 44' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 45' Kamil Conteh has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
  • 50' Another substitution for Bristol Rovers FC to replace Bryant Bilongo by Shaqai Forde on 50 minute.
  • 52' Against the run of play, Shaqai Forde has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 57' Dylan Williams, a England defender, has 5 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 59' Scott Sinclair has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 59 minutes.
  • 61' A change in the Bristol Rovers FC ranks — Jack Hunt exits the field as Taylor Moore enters on 61.
  • 62' A change in the Burton Albion FC ranks — Charlie Webster exits the field as Romelle Donovan enters on 62.
  • 67' Burton Albion FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Bristol Rovers FC's shape.
  • 72' The whistle greets Alex Bannon as he departs to be replaced by Jack Cooper Love.
  • 77' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 79' The whistle greets Dylan Williams as he departs to be replaced by Jason Sraha.
  • 82' That looks like a foul for a card for Terence Vancooten.
  • 85' A meaty challenge results in booking for Gatlin O'Donkor on 85.
  • 88' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Jack Cooper Love.
  • The final score is 1-3.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.46 Burton Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.71 Bristol Rovers FC xG
I would bet for: Burton Albion FC or Bristol Rovers FC 74% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burton Albion FC34% Draw26% Bristol Rovers FC40%
Actual: Bristol Rovers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.17
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Burton Albion FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Bristol Rovers FC
66%
Burton Albion FC or Bristol Rovers FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burton Albion FC25% Draw43% Bristol Rovers FC32%
Actual: Burton Albion FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
1 – 2
8.6%
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
6.1%
0 – 0
5.8%
1 – 0
5.4%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.5%
2 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Burton Albion FC

Handicap Burton Albion FC covers Push Bristol Rovers FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 17% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 58% — 42%
+1 58% 20% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 13% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Burton Albion FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
Bristol Rovers FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.