Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Burnley FC vs Milton Keynes Dons FC, FA Cup 2020-21 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2020-21
1 – 1
4 – 3 pen
Full Time
Sat 9 Jan 2021 · 15:00 UTC Turf Moor HT 45+5' · FT 45+53'

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Milton Keynes Dons FC — FA Cup at Turf Moor.

Match Details

  • Referee Geoff Eltringham
  • Referee Harry Lennard
  • Referee Marc Perry
  • Referee Jonathan Moss

Head-to-Head

1
Burnley FC 1 games · Avg 2.0 goals Milton Keynes Dons FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Jan Milton Keynes Dons FC H 1–1 D
29 Dec Sheffield United FC H 1–0 W
27 Dec Leeds United FC A 0–1 L
21 Dec Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 2–1 W
17 Dec Aston Villa FC A 0–0 D
13 Dec Arsenal FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Jan Burnley FC A 1–1 D
29 Dec Swindon Town FC A 4–1 W
26 Dec Bristol Rovers FC H 2–0 W
19 Dec Plymouth Argyle FC A 0–1 L
15 Dec Peterborough United FC H 1–1 D
12 Dec Burton Albion FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Burnley FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Milton Keynes Dons FC this season

Top Scorers (This Season)

Milton Keynes Dons FC
Joe Tomlinson 2 G
Rushian Hepburn-Murphy 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.21 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 Milton Keynes Dons FC xG
I would bet for: Burnley FC or Milton Keynes Dons FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC40% Draw30% Milton Keynes Dons FC30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.33
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Milton Keynes Dons FC
60%
Burnley FC or Milton Keynes Dons FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Burnley FC26% Draw51% Milton Keynes Dons FC23%
Actual: Milton Keynes Dons FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12%
1 – 0
10.6%
0 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.1%
3 – 0
2.7%
1 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Milton Keynes Dons FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 20% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 19% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Milton Keynes Dons FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.