Saturday , 26 September 2026

Burgos CF vs Málaga CF, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Segunda Division · 2025-26
2 – 1
Full Time
Sun 28 Sep 2025 · 14:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Burgos CF vs Málaga CF — Segunda Division .

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Palencia Caballero (Spain)

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Málaga CF H 2–1 W
22 Sep Granada CF H 1–1 D
14 Sep Real Sporting de Gijon A 3–2 W
07 Sep UD Las Palmas H 0–0 D
31 Aug Andorra CF A 1–2 L
24 Aug RC Deportivo La Coruña A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Burgos CF A 1–2 L
21 Sep Cadiz CF H 0–1 L
13 Sep SD Huesca A 0–1 L
06 Sep Granada CF H 2–2 D
31 Aug UD Las Palmas A 1–0 W
24 Aug Real Sociedad B H 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
Burgos CF this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Burgos CF
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Burgos CF
Alex Fores 3 G
David Gonzalez 2 G 1 A
Javier Llabres 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at as Burgos CF face off against Malaga CF in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Malaga CF.

Lineups

Burgos CF Lineups

Málaga CF Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.29 Burgos CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96 Málaga CF xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burgos CF47% Draw29% Málaga CF24%
Actual: Burgos CF win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.25
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Burgos CF or Draw
76%
Draw or Málaga CF
53%
Burgos CF or Málaga CF
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burgos CF29% Draw51% Málaga CF20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
12.9%
1 – 0
12.5%
0 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
8.5%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
6%
0 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
4%
3 – 0
3.6%
3 – 1
3.6%
1 – 3
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Burgos CF

Handicap Burgos CF covers Push Málaga CF covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 23% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 16% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Burgos CF keeps clean sheet
39% ✓
Málaga CF keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.