Monday , 10 August 2026

Burgos CF vs Málaga CF, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Segunda Division · 2025-26
Burgos CF
2 – 1
Full Time
Málaga CF
Sun 28 Sep 2025 · 14:15 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Burgos CF vs Málaga CF — Segunda Division .

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Palencia Caballero (Spain)

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Real Racing Club de Santander 42 82
2 RC Deportivo La Coruña 42 77
3 UD Almería 42 75
4 Málaga CF 42 73
5 UD Las Palmas 42 73
6 CD Castellon 42 72
7 Burgos CF 42 72
8 SD Eibar 42 67
9 Real Sporting de Gijon 42 61
10 Cordoba CF 42 61
11 Albacete Balompie 42 59
12 AD Ceuta FC 42 59
13 Andorra CF 42 58
14 Granada CF 42 48
15 Real Sociedad B 42 47
16 CD Leganes 42 46
17 Real Valladolid CF 42 46
18 Cadiz CF 42 43
19 CD Mirandés 42 40
20 SD Huesca 42 38
21 Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa 42 37
22 Real Zaragoza 42 36

Head-to-Head

1
2
1
Burgos CF 4 games · Avg 2.5 goals Málaga CF
Last 5 meetings
2025-09-28 Burgos CF 2–1 Málaga CF 2025-05-31 Málaga CF 2–2 Burgos CF 2024-12-15 Burgos CF 0–0 Málaga CF

Recent Form

Burgos CF
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Málaga CF H 2–1 W
22 Sep Granada CF H 1–1 D
14 Sep Real Sporting de Gijon A 3–2 W
07 Sep UD Las Palmas H 0–0 D
31 Aug Andorra CF A 1–2 L
24 Aug RC Deportivo La Coruña A 0–0 D
Málaga CF
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Burgos CF A 1–2 L
21 Sep Cadiz CF H 0–1 L
13 Sep SD Huesca A 0–1 L
06 Sep Granada CF H 2–2 D
31 Aug UD Las Palmas A 1–0 W
24 Aug Real Sociedad B H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Burgos CF Málaga CF
#7 Position #4
72 Points 73
42 Played 42
20 / 12 / 10 W / D / L 21 / 10 / 11
48 Scored 75
33 Conceded 52
+15 GD +23
1.71 PPG 1.74
48% Win % 50%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Burgos CF are 7th (72 pts). Málaga CF are 4th (73 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Burgos CF host Malaga CF — let the battle begin!
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Burgos CF take all three points.

Lineups

Burgos CF Lineups

Málaga CF Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.26 Burgos CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.94 Málaga CF xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burgos CF47% Draw29% Málaga CF24%
Actual: Burgos CF win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.2
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Burgos CF or Draw
75%
Draw or Málaga CF
53%
Burgos CF or Málaga CF
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burgos CF29% Draw52% Málaga CF19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
13.3%
1 – 0
12.7%
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
8.5%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.5%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 3
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Burgos CF

Handicap Burgos CF covers Push Málaga CF covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 13% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 23% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 17% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Burgos CF keeps clean sheet
40% ✓
Málaga CF keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.