Tuesday , 21 July 2026

Botafogo FR vs Grêmio FBPA, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Wed 29 Jul 2026 · 20:00 UTC Municipal Nilton Santos

Overview

Match Preview

Botafogo FR vs Gremio FBPASerie A at Municipal Nilton Santos.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Jul Santos FC H 2–1 W
30 May EC Bahia A 0–0 D
23 May Sao Paulo FC A 1–1 D
17 May SC Corinthians Paulista H 3–1 W
10 May CA Mineiro A 1–1 D
02 May Clube do Remo H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jul Mirassol FC A 1–2 L
30 May SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–0 D
23 May Santos FC H 3–2 W
17 May EC Bahia A 1–1 D
10 May CR Flamengo H 0–0 D
02 May CA Paranaense A 0–0 D

Season Stats

Botafogo FR Grêmio FBPA
#9 Position #16
25 Points 21
18 Played 19
7 / 4 / 7 W / D / L 5 / 6 / 8
33 Scored 21
32 Conceded 25
+1 GD -4
1.39 PPG 1.11
39% Win % 26%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season
37% Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season

Botafogo FR are 9th (25 pts). Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Botafogo FR
0-15
5/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
4/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Grêmio FBPA
0-15
/
16-30
/1
31-45
2/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Botafogo FR
Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira 7 G 2 A
Arthur Cabral 7 G 1 A
Edenilson 4 G 2 A
Matheus Martins 4 G
Grêmio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G

H2H

Predictions

1.94 Botafogo FR xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

Botafogo FR50% Draw24% Gremio FBPA26%

Both Teams to Score

Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.33

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Botafogo FR or Draw
74%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
50%
Botafogo FR or Gremio FBPA
76%

Half-Time Result

Botafogo FR37% Draw41% Gremio FBPA22%

Correct Score

1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
6.7%
1 – 2
6.5%
1 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
3 – 1
5.8%
0 – 0
5.1%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 0
4.2%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Botafogo FR

Handicap Botafogo FR covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 15% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 21% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 15% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
26%
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.