Thursday , 2 July 2026

Botafogo FR vs Grêmio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 22 Nov 2025 · 22:30 UTC Estadio Nilton Santos HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 59' Dodi
Y 70' Marlon
Vitinho 77' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Botafogo FR vs Grêmio FBPASerie A at Estadio Nilton Santos.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Nov Grêmio FBPA H 3–2 W
18 Nov SC Recife H 3–2 W
09 Nov EC Vitoria A 0–0 D
05 Nov CR Vasco da Gama H 3–0 W
01 Nov Mirassol FC A 0–0 D
26 Oct Santos FC H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Nov Botafogo FR A 2–3 L
20 Nov CR Vasco da Gama H 2–0 W
09 Nov Fortaleza EC A 2–2 D
05 Nov Cruzeiro EC H 0–1 L
02 Nov SC Corinthians Paulista A 0–2 L
26 Oct EC Juventude H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Botafogo FR Grêmio FBPA
#12 Position #16
22 Points 21
17 Played 18
6 / 4 / 7 W / D / L 5 / 6 / 7
31 Scored 20
31 Conceded 23
+0 GD -3
1.29 PPG 1.17
35% Win % 28%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season
39% Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season

Botafogo FR are 12th (22 pts). Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Botafogo FR
0-15
5/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Grêmio FBPA
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Botafogo FR
Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira 7 G 2 A
Arthur Cabral 7 G 1 A
Edenilson 4 G 2 A
Matheus Martins 4 G
Grêmio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 9 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Botafogo FR have kicked off against Grêmio FBPA. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Kadir Barria is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Botafogo FR so far.
  • 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' A goal from the Brazil international Cuiabano! He fires home on 15 to make it 1-0!
  • 19' A goal from the Brazil international Artur Guimaraes! He fires home on 19 to make it 2-0!
  • 24' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 28' The crowd applauds Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira as he leaves the pitch. Newton steps in for Botafogo FR.
  • 33' Grêmio FBPA fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 38' The 31-year-old Marlon Freitas has been sensational this season — 2 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 43' Botafogo FR started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 43.
  • 46' The crowd applauds Lucas Esteves as he leaves the pitch. Franco Cristaldo steps in for Gremio FBPA.
  • 49' What composure from Andre! The Brazil international strokes it home. 2-1.
  • 50' Gremio FBPA receives a card for a hard tackle on 50.
  • 55' A change in the Botafogo FR ranks — Kadir Barria exits the field as Arthur Cabral enters on 55.
  • 59' That looks like a foul for a card for Dodi.
  • 64' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 67' It is a substitution in Gremio FBPA team. Edenilson is replaced by Alexander Aravena on 67 minute.
  • 70' That looks like a foul for a card for Marlon.
  • 72' Gremio FBPA manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Viery is hanging Erick Noriega on the field on 72 minute.
  • 77' Botafogo FR player sees a card in front of him.
  • 78' The referee has no hesitation. Gustavo Martins is booked for Gremio FBPA — card on 78.
  • 78' The Botafogo FR manager makes a substitution. Artur Guimaraes departs to be replaced by Marcal.
  • 79' A tactical swap from Botafogo FRAlvaro Montoro on, Jefferson Savarino off on 79 minutes.
  • 83' What a moment for Marcal! That strike on 83 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 88' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Alexander Barboza suffering a number of foals already.
  • 90' Carlos Vinicius is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 3 goals this season for the .
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Botafogo FR take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.21 Botafogo FR xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55 Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Botafogo FR54% Draw22% Grêmio FBPA24%
Actual: Botafogo FR win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes70% 0% No30%
Avg goals/match: 3.76
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

Botafogo FR or Draw
76%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
46%
Botafogo FR or Grêmio FBPA
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Botafogo FR39% Draw39% Grêmio FBPA22%
Actual: Botafogo FR win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8.6%
2 – 2
6.5%
3 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
6%
2 – 0
5.8%
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
4.7%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 0
3.6%
4 – 1
3.5%
2 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Botafogo FR

Handicap Botafogo FR covers Push Grêmio FBPA covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 16% 68%
-1.5 32% 68%
-1 32% 20% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 14% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
22%
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.