Thursday , 2 July 2026

Grêmio FBPA vs Botafogo FR, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Thu 5 Feb 2026 · 00:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Grêmio FBPA vs Botafogo FRSerie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Felipe Fernandes de Lima
8 games this season 🟨 4.4/game 7.6 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Feb Botafogo FR H 5–3 W
28 Jan Fluminense FC A 1–2 L
07 Dec SC Recife A 4–0 W
03 Dec Fluminense FC H 1–2 L
26 Nov SE Palmeiras H 3–2 W
22 Nov Botafogo FR A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Feb Grêmio FBPA A 3–5 L
30 Jan Cruzeiro EC H 4–0 W
07 Dec Fortaleza EC H 4–2 W
04 Dec Cruzeiro EC A 2–2 D
30 Nov SC Corinthians Paulista A 2–2 D
22 Nov Grêmio FBPA H 3–2 W

Season Stats

Grêmio FBPA Botafogo FR
#16 Position #12
21 Points 22
18 Played 17
5 / 6 / 7 W / D / L 6 / 4 / 7
20 Scored 31
23 Conceded 31
-3 GD +0
1.17 PPG 1.29
28% Win % 35%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
39% Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season
12% Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season

Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts). Botafogo FR are 12th (22 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Grêmio FBPA
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Botafogo FR
0-15
5/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Grêmio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 9 G
Botafogo FR
Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira 7 G 2 A
Arthur Cabral 7 G 1 A
Edenilson 4 G 2 A
Matheus Martins 4 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Grêmio FBPA and Botafogo FR has kicked off!
  • With this win, Grêmio FBPA is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Grêmio FBPA Lineups

Botafogo FR Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.31 Grêmio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.99 Botafogo FR xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Grêmio FBPA45% Draw22% Botafogo FR33%
Actual: Grêmio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes77% 0% No23%
Avg goals/match: 4.3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 79%
21%
± 3.5 61%
39%
± 4.5 42%
58%

Double Chance

Grêmio FBPA or Draw
68%
Draw or Botafogo FR
55%
Grêmio FBPA or Botafogo FR
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Grêmio FBPA36% Draw36% Botafogo FR28%
Actual: Botafogo FR win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–3 not predicted
5 – 3
Actual
2 – 1
7.1%
1 – 1
7%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.1%
3 – 1
5.4%
3 – 2
5.2%
2 – 3
4.5%
1 – 3
4%
2 – 0
3.8%
3 – 3
3.5%
4 – 1
3.1%
4 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Grêmio FBPA

Handicap Grêmio FBPA covers Push Botafogo FR covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 13% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 18% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 15% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 10% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
15%
Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
11%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.