Belgium vs Slovakia, European Championship 2024 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Belgium vs Slovakia — European Championship at Deutsche Bank Park.
Match Details
- Referee Halil Meler (Turkey)
- Assistant 1 Mustafa Eyisoy (Turkey)
- Assistant 2 Kerem Ersoy
5 games this season
🟨 6.6/game
⚽ 17.4 goals/game
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
20%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
Belgium this season
Belgium this season
25%
Clean Sheets
Slovakia this season
Slovakia this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Belgium
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Slovakia
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
–/–
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Slovakia
| Ivan Schranz | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Belgium gets underway.
- 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Domenico Tedesco might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 7' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Ivan Schranz makes it 0-1.
- 12' Tomas Suslov has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 316 appearances.
- 17' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 22' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Domenico Tedesco will be considering his options from the bench.
- 27' It looks surprising Slovakia does not make any changes. Robert Bozenik has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 30' A moment of madness from Orel Mangala on 30 minutes earns him a card. Belgium will be frustrated.
- 35' Belgium are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Slovakia's 4-3-3 shape.
- 40' Romelu Lukaku needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 41' Slovakia player sees a card in front of him.
- 46' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Belgium side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 51' With 0 assists to his name this season, David Duris is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Belgium.
- 56' The travelling Slovakia supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 58' Fresh legs for Belgium! Johan Bakayoko comes on to replace Orel Mangala.
- 63' Slovakia fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 68' The home supporters are growing impatient. Belgium must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 70' A change in the Slovakia ranks — Robert Bozenik exits the field as David Strelec enters on 70.
- 74' Another substitution for Belgium to replace Leandro Trossard by Youri Tielemans on 74 minute.
- 76' Youri Tielemans catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 76.
- 81' The whistle greets Ivan Schranz as he departs to be replaced by David Duris.
- 84' The Belgium manager makes a substitution. Jeremy Doku departs to be replaced by Lois Openda.
- 85' The referee has no hesitation. Dodi Lukebakio is booked for Belgium — card on 85.
- 90' Ondrej Duda makes way for Adam Obert at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Slovakia.
- Full Time. Slovakia beats Belgium
Lineups
Belgium Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 7
- 10
-
18
Orel Mangala ↓ Johan Bakayoko 58'
- 1
- 21
- 11
- 9
- 4
-
22
Jeremy Doku ↓ Lois Openda 84'
- 24
- 2
Bench
-
20
Lois Openda ↑ 84'
- 5
-
8
Youri Tielemans ↑ 74'
- 13
- 6
-
14
Dodi Lukebakio ↑ 84'
- 12
- 16
- 17
- 25
- 3
-
19
Johan Bakayoko ↑ 58'
- 23
Coach
Domenico Tedesco
Slovakia Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1
- 2
-
8
Ondrej Duda ↓ Adam Obert 90'
- 22
- 14
- 16
- 19
- 3
-
17
Lukas Haraslin ↓ Tomas Suslov 70'
-
26
Ivan Schranz ↓ David Duris 81'
-
9
Robert Bozenik ↓ David Strelec 70'
Bench
- 6
- 12
- 21
- 11
- 10
- 13
-
18
David Strelec ↑ 70'
- 23
-
7
Tomas Suslov ↑ 70'
- 25
-
20
David Duris ↑ 81'
- 5
- 15
-
4
Adam Obert ↑ 90'
- 24
Coach
Francesco Calzona
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.95
Belgium xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2
Slovakia xG
I would bet for:
Slovakia or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Slovakia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 2.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
Belgium or Draw
59%
Draw or Slovakia
72%
Belgium or Slovakia
69%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Slovakia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
14%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.8%
0 – 2
8%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 0
5%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 3
3.2%
1 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
2%
Asian Handicap — Belgium
| Handicap | Belgium covers | Push | Slovakia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 17% | 73% |
| -0.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 22% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 12% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Belgium keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Slovakia keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.