BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Vitória SC, 2016

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2. Bundesliga 2016/17 · 2016

BSG Chemie Leipzig

1 – 0

Full Time

Vitória SC

Fri 21 Apr 2017 · 16:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

BSG Chemie Leipzig vs Vitória SC — 2. Bundesliga .

BSG Chemie Leipzig 0 games · 0 pts
Vitória SC 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

BSG Chemie Leipzig 2.45

Draw 3.00

Vitória SC 3.10

Head-to-Head

BSG Chemie Leipzig 6 games · Avg 2.2 goals Vitória SC

Last 5 meetings

2017-04-21 BSG Chemie Leipzig 1–0 Vitória SC 2016-11-21 Vitória SC 1–1 BSG Chemie Leipzig 2016-03-01 BSG Chemie Leipzig 0–1 Vitória SC 2015-09-19 Vitória SC 1–1 BSG Chemie Leipzig 2014-12-17 Vitória SC 1–1 BSG Chemie Leipzig

Recent Form

BSG Chemie Leipzig

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Apr	Vitória SC	H	1–0	W
16 Apr	FC Viktoria Koln 1904	A	1–3	L
08 Apr	SC Weiche Flensburg 08	H	2–0	W
05 Apr	Hannover 96	A	0–0	D
02 Apr	SSV Jeddeloh	H	0–1	L
17 Mar	VfL Bochum 1848	A	0–2	L

Vitória SC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Apr	BSG Chemie Leipzig	A	0–1	L
16 Apr	SSV Jahn Regensburg	H	1–1	D
09 Apr	North Shields FC	A	0–3	L
05 Apr	FC Erzgebirge Aue	H	1–1	D
31 Mar	Arminia Bielefeld	A	1–0	W
17 Mar	FC Groningen	H	2–1	W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

17% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: BSG Chemie Leipzig gets underway.
Full Time. BSG Chemie Leipzig beats Vitória SC

Lineups

BSG Chemie Leipzig Lineups

Vitória SC Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

BSG Chemie Leipzig Form

2017-04-21 BSG Chemie Leipzig 1–0 Vitória SC W 2017-04-16 FC Viktoria Koln 1904 3–1 BSG Chemie Leipzig L 2017-04-08 BSG Chemie Leipzig 2–0 SC Weiche Flensburg 08 W 2017-04-05 Hannover 96 0–0 BSG Chemie Leipzig D 2017-04-02 BSG Chemie Leipzig 0–1 SSV Jeddeloh L 2017-03-17 VfL Bochum 1848 2–0 BSG Chemie Leipzig L

Vitória SC Form

2017-04-21 BSG Chemie Leipzig 1–0 Vitória SC L 2017-04-16 Vitória SC 1–1 SSV Jahn Regensburg D 2017-04-09 North Shields FC 3–0 Vitória SC L 2017-04-05 Vitória SC 1–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue D 2017-03-31 Arminia Bielefeld 0–1 Vitória SC W 2017-03-17 Vitória SC 2–1 FC Groningen W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 3

1.21 BSG Chemie Leipzig xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.76 Vitória SC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct

BSG Chemie Leipzig47% Draw31% Vitória SC22%

Actual: BSG Chemie Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes39% 0% No61%

Avg goals/match: 1.97

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	84%	16%
± 1.5	59%	41%
± 2.5	32%	68%
± 3.5	14%	86%
± 4.5	6%	94%

Double Chance

BSG Chemie Leipzig or Draw

77%

Draw or Vitória SC

53%

BSG Chemie Leipzig or Vitória SC

69%

Half-Time Result

BSG Chemie Leipzig30% Draw55% Vitória SC15%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

16.3%

1 – 0

Actual

1 – 1

13.7%

2 – 0

9.7%

0 – 1

9.3%

2 – 1

7.6%

1 – 2

4.7%

3 – 0

3.8%

0 – 2

3.8%

3 – 1

3.1%

2 – 2

3 – 2

1.3%

Asian Handicap — BSG Chemie Leipzig

Handicap	BSG Chemie Leipzig covers	Push	Vitória SC covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	13%	80%
-1.5	20%	—	80%
-1	20%	25%	55%
-0.5	45%	—	55%
+0.5	78%	—	22%
+1	78%	15%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

BSG Chemie Leipzig keeps clean sheet

47% ✗

Vitória SC keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.