BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FC Erzgebirge Aue, 2016

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2. Bundesliga 2016/17 · 2016

BSG Chemie Leipzig

0 – 1

Full Time

FC Erzgebirge Aue

Sat 17 Sep 2016 · 11:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

BSG Chemie Leipzig vs FC Erzgebirge Aue — 2. Bundesliga .

BSG Chemie Leipzig 0 games · 0 pts
FC Erzgebirge Aue 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

BSG Chemie Leipzig 2.70

Draw 3.40

FC Erzgebirge Aue 2.50

Head-to-Head

BSG Chemie Leipzig 3 games · Avg 2.3 goals FC Erzgebirge Aue

Last 5 meetings

2016-09-17 BSG Chemie Leipzig 0–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue

Recent Form

BSG Chemie Leipzig

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Sep	FC Erzgebirge Aue	H	0–1	L
11 Sep	SSV Jahn Regensburg	A	0–2	L
29 Aug	Arminia Bielefeld	H	0–0	D
20 Aug	Denmark	A	3–4	L
14 Aug	FC Groningen	A	1–1	D
05 Aug	1. FC Nurnberg	H	0–4	L

FC Erzgebirge Aue

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Sep	BSG Chemie Leipzig	A	1–0	W
09 Sep	1. FC Lok Stendal	H	1–2	L
28 Aug	SSV Jahn Regensburg	A	2–1	W
20 Aug	Widnes FC	A	3–0	W
12 Aug	Arminia Bielefeld	A	0–1	L
07 Aug	BFC Dynamo	H	2–1	W

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)

33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: BSG Chemie Leipzig gets underway.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from FC Erzgebirge Aue to claim maximum points.

Lineups

BSG Chemie Leipzig Lineups

FC Erzgebirge Aue Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 3

0.72 BSG Chemie Leipzig xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.18 FC Erzgebirge Aue xG

I would bet for: FC Erzgebirge Aue or Draw 76% + Under 2.5 goals 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct

BSG Chemie Leipzig24% Draw32% FC Erzgebirge Aue44%

Actual: FC Erzgebirge Aue win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes37% 0% No63%

Avg goals/match: 1.9

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	83%	17%
± 1.5	57%	43%
± 2.5	30%	70%
± 3.5	13%	87%
± 4.5	5%	95%

Double Chance

BSG Chemie Leipzig or Draw

56%

Draw or FC Erzgebirge Aue

76%

BSG Chemie Leipzig or FC Erzgebirge Aue

68%

Half-Time Result

BSG Chemie Leipzig15% Draw56% FC Erzgebirge Aue29%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

17.5%

0 – 1

Actual

1 – 1

13.6%

0 – 2

9.9%

1 – 0

9.4%

1 – 2

7.4%

2 – 1

4.4%

0 – 3

3.8%

2 – 0

3.6%

1 – 3

2 – 2

2.8%

2 – 3

1.2%

Asian Handicap — BSG Chemie Leipzig

Handicap	BSG Chemie Leipzig covers	Push	FC Erzgebirge Aue covers
-2.5	1%	—	99%
-2	1%	5%	94%
-1.5	6%	—	94%
-1	6%	15%	79%
-0.5	21%	—	79%
+0.5	55%	—	45%
+1	55%	25%	20%
+1.5	80%	—	20%
+2	80%	13%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

BSG Chemie Leipzig keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

FC Erzgebirge Aue keeps clean sheet

49% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.