Thursday , 1 October 2026

Accrington Stanley FC vs Morecambe FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 1 Oct 2022 · 14:00 UTC Wham Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct Morecambe FC H 3–1 W
24 Sep Bristol Rovers FC A 1–0 W
17 Sep Cheltenham Town FC H 1–0 W
13 Sep Wycombe Wanderers FC A 0–1 L
06 Sep Forest Green Rovers FC A 1–2 L
03 Sep Ipswich Town FC H 0–2 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Accrington Stanley FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Morecambe FC is showing some good football. However, Morecambe FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' Seamus Conneely has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 23 cards already picked up this season.
  • 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 20' Accrington Stanley FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Morecambe FC's shape.
  • 25' Morecambe FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 28' The referee has no hesitation. Liam Gibson is booked for Morecambe FC — Yellow card on 28.
  • 29' That is a Yellow card for Accrington Stanley FC. Seamus Conneely will be fuming at that decision.
  • 34' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 39' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 44' Ryan Astley is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Accrington Stanley FC so far.
  • 45' The referee shows Morecambe FC player a Red card on 45.
  • 50' Morecambe FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 53' The referee has no hesitation. Douglas Tharme is booked for Accrington Stanley FC — Yellow card on 53.
  • 58' Liam Coyle makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Accrington Stanley FC are in front.
  • 60' Morecambe FC make a change. Jake Taylor trudges off to be replaced by Ryan Cooney on 60 minutes.
  • 61' Ousmane Fane catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 61.
  • 66' Ireland international Dylan Connolly has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 71' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Accrington Stanley FC that had 231 games and scored 314 goals.
  • 74' Morecambe FC ring the changes. Jacob Bedeau has done his job and it is now time for Cole Stockton to step up.
  • 75' Another change for Accrington Stanley FC made on 75 minute. Douglas Tharme leaves to be changed by Jack Nolan.
  • 77' The Wales Ryan Astley breaks the deadlock on 77 minutes. 1-1!
  • 82' Ethan Hamilton doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 82' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Farrend Rawson.
  • 82' The whistle greets Kieran Phillips as he departs to be replaced by Dylan Connolly.
  • 85' GOAL! Tommy Leigh fires home to make it 3-1!
  • 88' It’s a booking for Morecambe FC player. Donald Love gets a Yellow card.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Accrington Stanley FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.79 Accrington Stanley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32 Morecambe FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Accrington Stanley FC51% Draw24% Morecambe FC25%
Actual: Accrington Stanley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.11
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Accrington Stanley FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Morecambe FC
49%
Accrington Stanley FC or Morecambe FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Accrington Stanley FC35% Draw43% Morecambe FC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 0
7.2%
2 – 0
7.1%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
6%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Accrington Stanley FC

Handicap Accrington Stanley FC covers Push Morecambe FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 21% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 15% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Accrington Stanley FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Morecambe FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.