Thursday , 2 July 2026

AS Saint-Étienne vs Lille OSC, Ligue 1 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2018-19
Sun 10 Mar 2019 · 14:00 UTC Stade Geoffroy-Guichard HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AS Saint-Étienne vs Lille OSCLigue 1 at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard.

Match Details

  • Referee Mikael Lesage
  • Referee Frederic Hebrard
  • Referee Franck Schneider
  • Referee Huseyin Ocak
  • Referee Bastien Dechepy

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Mar AS Saint-Étienne A 1–0 W
03 Mar Dijon Football Cote d'Or H 1–0 W
22 Feb RC Strasbourg Alsace A 1–1 D
17 Feb Montpellier HSC H 0–0 D
10 Feb En Avant Guingamp A 2–0 W
01 Feb OGC Nice H 4–0 W

Key Stats

35% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — AS Saint-Étienne and Lille OSC get this one started.
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 10' AS Saint-Étienne are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 15' AS Saint-Étienne are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Lille OSC's shape.
  • 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 25' Timothee Kolodziejczak is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Lille OSC tonight.
  • 30' The 31-year-old Xeka has been sensational this season — 2 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 35' Rafael Leao has been relatively quiet despite scoring 79 goals in his last 466 appearances.
  • 40' Nicolas Pepe, a Ivory Coast , has 11 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 45' Supporters expect more eagerness from William Saliba, as he is very good at scoring at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 50' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 52' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Yann M'Vila.
  • 57' AS Saint-Étienne currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 59' A meaty challenge results in booking for Xeka on 59.
  • 62' Mathieu Debuchy is having his name booked by the referee on 62.
  • 66' Lille OSC make a change. Rafael Leao trudges off to be replaced by Luiz Araujo on 66 minutes.
  • 70' It’s a booking for AS Saint-Etienne player. Timothee Kolodziejczak gets a Yellow card.
  • 72' A change in the AS Saint-Etienne ranks — Romain Hamouma exits the field as Arnaud Nordin enters on 72.
  • 73' AS Saint-Etienne ring the changes. Youssef Ait Bennasser has done his job and it is now time for Valentin Vada to step up.
  • 78' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 79' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Jonathan Bamba.
  • 79' The AS Saint-Etienne bench stirs into life. Robert Beric is withdrawn and Makhtar Gueye gets his opportunity.
  • 83' The Lille OSC bench stirs into life. Jonathan Bamba is withdrawn and Loic Remy gets his opportunity.
  • 87' Nicolas Pepe makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Lille OSC are in front.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Jonathan Ikone on 90 minutes.
  • 90' The whistle greets Jonathan Ikone as he departs to be replaced by Thiago Maia.
  • With this win, Lille OSC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.02 AS Saint-Étienne xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17 Lille OSC xG
I would bet for: Lille OSC or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AS Saint-Étienne30% Draw31% Lille OSC39%
Actual: Lille OSC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.19
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

AS Saint-Étienne or Draw
61%
Draw or Lille OSC
70%
AS Saint-Étienne or Lille OSC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AS Saint-Étienne22% Draw52% Lille OSC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
13.6%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.2%
1 – 2
7.5%
0 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
4%
1 – 3
3%
0 – 3
2.8%
3 – 1
2.3%

Asian Handicap — AS Saint-Étienne

Handicap AS Saint-Étienne covers Push Lille OSC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 18% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 21% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

AS Saint-Étienne keeps clean sheet
32%
Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
37%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.