AFC Wimbledon vs Bristol Rovers FC, League One 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

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League One · 2020-21

AFC Wimbledon

2 – 4

Full Time

Bristol Rovers FC

Sat 5 Dec 2020 · 15:00 UTC Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium HT 45+5' · FT 45+4'

Will Nightingale 11' Y

Nesta Guinness-Walker 50' Y

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Wimbledon vs Bristol Rovers FC — League One at Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium.

AFC Wimbledon 14 games · 16 pts (2026/27)
Bristol Rovers FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Anthony Da Costa
Referee Craig Hicks
Referee Marc Wilson
Referee Ben Speedie

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Huddersfield Town AFC	14	29
2	Stockport County FC	15	29
3	Oxford United FC	13	26
4	Luton Town FC	14	24
5	Sheffield Wednesday FC	14	23
6	Plymouth Argyle FC	15	23
7	Reading FC	15	22
8	Bradford City AFC	13	22
9	Milton Keynes Dons FC	14	21
10	Cambridge United FC	14	21
11	Leicester City FC	13	19
12	Mansfield Town FC	13	19
13	Wycombe Wanderers FC	13	18
14	Leyton Orient FC	13	17
15	Burton Albion FC	15	17
16	Stevenage FC	12	16
17	AFC Wimbledon	14	16
18	Notts County FC	12	14
19	Wigan Athletic FC	15	14
20	Blackpool FC	13	12
21	Doncaster Rovers FC	13	12
22	Peterborough United FC	13	10
23	Barnsley FC	13	9
24	Bromley FC	13	9

Head-to-Head

AFC Wimbledon 6 games · Avg 2.8 goals Bristol Rovers FC

Last 5 meetings

2020-12-05 AFC Wimbledon 2–4 Bristol Rovers FC 2019-12-26 Bristol Rovers FC 1–2 AFC Wimbledon 2019-09-21 AFC Wimbledon 1–3 Bristol Rovers FC 2019-04-19 AFC Wimbledon 1–1 Bristol Rovers FC 2018-10-23 Bristol Rovers FC 2–0 AFC Wimbledon

Recent Form

AFC Wimbledon

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Dec	Bristol Rovers FC	H	2–4	L
02 Dec	Peterborough United FC	H	2–1	W
29 Nov	Crawley Town FC	H	1–2	L
26 Nov	Barrow AFC	A	0–0	D
24 Nov	Gillingham FC	A	1–2	L
21 Nov	Rochdale AFC	A	1–0	W

Bristol Rovers FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Dec	AFC Wimbledon	A	4–2	W
02 Dec	Gillingham FC	H	0–2	L
29 Nov	Darlington FC	H	6–0	W
24 Nov	Wigan Athletic FC	A	0–0	D
21 Nov	Swindon Town FC	A	0–1	L
14 Nov	Fleetwood Town FC	H	1–4	L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

38% Clean Sheets
AFC Wimbledon this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Wimbledon

0-15

1/1

16-30

4/5

31-45

1/3

46-60

1/3

61-75

1/3

76+

1/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AFC Wimbledon

Jayden Stockley	6 G
Myles Hippolyte	3 G

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium will turn into a battlefield for AFC Wimbledon and Bristol Rovers FC.
5' Brilliant from the ! Joe Pigott makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 5.
10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AFC Wimbledon side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
11' The referee calls foul for Will Nightingale. He receives a Yellow card.
14' Against the run of play, Sam Nicholson has scored! This game has turned on its head.
19' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
24' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
25' Brandon Hanlan adds to his 0 season tally! Bristol Rovers FC lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
30' Brilliant from the ! Ben Heneghan makes it 2-2 with a superb finish on 30.
35' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
40' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AFC Wimbledon and Bristol Rovers FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
45' Over 45 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
46' What a moment for Brandon Hanlan! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
50' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Nesta Guinness-Walker.
55' Anssi Jaakkola has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 13 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
60' England international Alex Woodyard has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
62' AFC Wimbledon manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Shane McLoughlin is hanging Cheye Alexander on the field on 62 minute.
64' Goal! Sam Nicholson scores his 19 goal in 288 matches.
69' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
74' Callum Reilly has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
79' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 79 minutes.
81' The AFC Wimbledon manager makes a substitution. Anthony Hartigan departs to be replaced by Callum Reilly.
86' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Zain Westbrooke suffering a number of foals already.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-4.

Lineups

AFC Wimbledon Lineups

Starting XI

5
Will Nightingale C
8
Anthony Hartigan ↓ Callum Reilly 81'
39
Joe Pigott
1
Connal Trueman
22
Ben Heneghan
4
Alex Woodyard
7
Cheye Alexander ↓ Shane McLoughlin 62'
18
Nesta Guinness-Walker ↓ Steve Seddon 62'
3
Daniel Csoka ↓ Ethan Chislett 62'
12
Jack Rudoni ↓ Ollie Palmer 81'
29
Ryan Longman

Bench

9
Ollie Palmer ↑ 81'
13
Nik Tzanev
6
Terell Thomas
19
Shane McLoughlin ↑ 62'
33
Callum Reilly ↑ 81'
42
Steve Seddon ↑ 62'
11
Ethan Chislett ↑ 62'

Coach Glyn Peter Hodges

Bristol Rovers FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Paul Tisdale

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Joe Pigott	3
Sam Nicholson	2
Marcus Forss	2
Jonson Clarke-Harris	2
Brandon Hanlan	2
Will Nightingale	1
Edward Upson	1
Ollie Clarke	1

Head to Head

AFC Wimbledon Form

2020-12-05 AFC Wimbledon 2–4 Bristol Rovers FC L 2020-12-02 AFC Wimbledon 2–1 Peterborough United FC W 2020-11-29 AFC Wimbledon 1–2 Crawley Town FC L 2020-11-26 Barrow AFC 0–0 AFC Wimbledon D 2020-11-24 Gillingham FC 2–1 AFC Wimbledon L 2020-11-21 Rochdale AFC 0–1 AFC Wimbledon W

Bristol Rovers FC Form

2020-12-05 AFC Wimbledon 2–4 Bristol Rovers FC W 2020-12-02 Bristol Rovers FC 0–2 Gillingham FC L 2020-11-29 Bristol Rovers FC 6–0 Darlington FC W 2020-11-24 Wigan Athletic FC 0–0 Bristol Rovers FC D 2020-11-21 Swindon Town FC 1–0 Bristol Rovers FC L 2020-11-14 Bristol Rovers FC 1–4 Fleetwood Town FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.35 AFC Wimbledon xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.65 Bristol Rovers FC xG

I would bet for: AFC Wimbledon or Bristol Rovers FC 72% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct

AFC Wimbledon32% Draw28% Bristol Rovers FC40%

Actual: Bristol Rovers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes60% 0% No40%

Avg goals/match: 3

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	57%	43%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

AFC Wimbledon or Draw

59%

Draw or Bristol Rovers FC

68%

AFC Wimbledon or Bristol Rovers FC

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

AFC Wimbledon24% Draw44% Bristol Rovers FC32%

Actual: Bristol Rovers FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted

2 – 4

Actual

1 – 1

12%

1 – 2

8.8%

0 – 1

7.4%

2 – 1

7.2%

0 – 0

6.7%

0 – 2

6.7%

2 – 2

5.9%

1 – 0

5.9%

1 – 3

4.8%

2 – 0

4.5%

0 – 3

3.6%

2 – 3

3.3%

Asian Handicap — AFC Wimbledon

Handicap	AFC Wimbledon covers	Push	Bristol Rovers FC covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	9%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	16%	70%
-0.5	30%	—	70%
+0.5	57%	—	43%
+1	57%	20%	23%
+1.5	77%	—	23%
+2	77%	13%	10%
+2.5	90%	—	10%

Clean Sheet

AFC Wimbledon keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Bristol Rovers FC keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.