AFC Wimbledon vs Bristol Rovers FC, League One 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

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League One · 2020-21

AFC Wimbledon

2 – 4

Full Time

Bristol Rovers FC

Sat 5 Dec 2020 · 15:00 UTC Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium HT 45+5' · FT 45+4'

Will Nightingale 11' Y

Nesta Guinness-Walker 50' Y

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Wimbledon vs Bristol Rovers FC — League One at Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium.

AFC Wimbledon 1 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Bristol Rovers FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Anthony Da Costa
Referee Craig Hicks
Referee Marc Wilson
Referee Ben Speedie

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Lincoln City FC	46	103
2	Cardiff City FC	46	91
3	Bolton Wanderers FC	46	75
4	Exeter City FC	46	49
5	Port Vale FC	46	42
6	Rotherham United FC	46	41
7	Northampton Town FC	46	35
8	Huddersfield Town AFC	1	3
9	Stockport County FC	1	3
10	Bradford City AFC	1	3
11	Luton Town FC	1	3
12	Cambridge United FC	1	3
13	Mansfield Town FC	1	3
14	Sheffield Wednesday FC	1	3
15	Bromley FC	1	3
16	Oxford United FC	1	1
17	Milton Keynes Dons FC	1	1
18	Stevenage FC	1	1
19	Wycombe Wanderers FC	1	1
20	Blackpool FC	1	1
21	Burton Albion FC	1	1
22	Leicester City FC	1	1
23	Notts County FC	1	1
24	Reading FC	1	0
25	Wigan Athletic FC	1	0
26	Doncaster Rovers FC	1	0
27	Leyton Orient FC	1	0
28	Barnsley FC	1	0
29	Plymouth Argyle FC	1	0
30	Peterborough United FC	1	0
31	AFC Wimbledon	1	0

Head-to-Head

AFC Wimbledon 6 games · Avg 2.8 goals Bristol Rovers FC

Last 5 meetings

2020-12-05 AFC Wimbledon 2–4 Bristol Rovers FC 2019-12-26 Bristol Rovers FC 1–2 AFC Wimbledon 2019-09-21 AFC Wimbledon 1–3 Bristol Rovers FC 2019-04-19 AFC Wimbledon 1–1 Bristol Rovers FC 2018-10-23 Bristol Rovers FC 2–0 AFC Wimbledon

Recent Form

AFC Wimbledon

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Dec	Bristol Rovers FC	H	2–4	L
02 Dec	Peterborough United FC	H	2–1	W
29 Nov	Crawley Town FC	H	1–2	L
26 Nov	Barrow AFC	A	0–0	D
24 Nov	Gillingham FC	A	1–2	L
21 Nov	Rochdale AFC	A	1–0	W

Bristol Rovers FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Dec	AFC Wimbledon	A	4–2	W
02 Dec	Gillingham FC	H	0–2	L
29 Nov	Darlington FC	H	6–0	W
24 Nov	Wigan Athletic FC	A	0–0	D
21 Nov	Swindon Town FC	A	0–1	L
14 Nov	Fleetwood Town FC	H	1–4	L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
AFC Wimbledon this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
5' A goal from the England international Joe Pigott! He fires home on 5 to make it 1-0!
10' It looks like no one’s ball. AFC Wimbledon is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
11' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Will Nightingale on 11 minutes.
14' A goal from the Scotland international Sam Nicholson! He fires home on 14 to make it 1-1!
19' Bristol Rovers FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
24' AFC Wimbledon currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
25' Brandon Hanlan makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and Bristol Rovers FC are in front.
30' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Ben Heneghan makes it 2-2.
35' AFC Wimbledon are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Bristol Rovers FC backline.
40' Both keepers have barely been tested. AFC Wimbledon and Bristol Rovers FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
45' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
46' Brandon Hanlan makes no mistake. The score reads 2-3 and Bristol Rovers FC are in front.
50' Nesta Guinness-Walker has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 50.
55' It looks surprising Bristol Rovers FC does not make any changes. Max Ehmer has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
60' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AFC Wimbledon side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
62' It is a substitution in AFC Wimbledon team. Cheye Alexander is replaced by Shane McLoughlin on 62 minute.
64' Sam Nicholson is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
69' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AFC Wimbledon needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
74' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
79' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both AFC Wimbledon and Bristol Rovers FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
81' AFC Wimbledon manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Callum Reilly is hanging Anthony Hartigan on the field on 81 minute.
86' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jack Baldwin, as he is very good at scoring at Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — AFC Wimbledon 2-4 Bristol Rovers FC.

Lineups

AFC Wimbledon Lineups

Starting XI

5
Will Nightingale C
8
Anthony Hartigan ↓ Callum Reilly 81'
39
Joe Pigott
1
Connal Trueman
22
Ben Heneghan
4
Alex Woodyard
7
Cheye Alexander ↓ Shane McLoughlin 62'
18
Nesta Guinness-Walker ↓ Steve Seddon 62'
3
Daniel Csoka ↓ Ethan Chislett 62'
12
Jack Rudoni ↓ Ollie Palmer 81'
29
Ryan Longman

Bench

9
Ollie Palmer ↑ 81'
13
Nik Tzanev
6
Terell Thomas
19
Shane McLoughlin ↑ 62'
33
Callum Reilly ↑ 81'
42
Steve Seddon ↑ 62'
11
Ethan Chislett ↑ 62'

Coach Glyn Peter Hodges

Bristol Rovers FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Paul Tisdale

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Joe Pigott	3
Jonson Clarke-Harris	2
Brandon Hanlan	2
Sam Nicholson	2
Marcus Forss	2
Tony Craig	1
Abumere Ogogo	1
Ben Heneghan	1

Head to Head

AFC Wimbledon Form

2020-12-05 AFC Wimbledon 2–4 Bristol Rovers FC L 2020-12-02 AFC Wimbledon 2–1 Peterborough United FC W 2020-11-29 AFC Wimbledon 1–2 Crawley Town FC L 2020-11-26 Barrow AFC 0–0 AFC Wimbledon D 2020-11-24 Gillingham FC 2–1 AFC Wimbledon L 2020-11-21 Rochdale AFC 0–1 AFC Wimbledon W

Bristol Rovers FC Form

2020-12-05 AFC Wimbledon 2–4 Bristol Rovers FC W 2020-12-02 Bristol Rovers FC 0–2 Gillingham FC L 2020-11-29 Bristol Rovers FC 6–0 Darlington FC W 2020-11-24 Wigan Athletic FC 0–0 Bristol Rovers FC D 2020-11-21 Swindon Town FC 1–0 Bristol Rovers FC L 2020-11-14 Bristol Rovers FC 1–4 Fleetwood Town FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.35 AFC Wimbledon xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.65 Bristol Rovers FC xG

I would bet for: AFC Wimbledon or Bristol Rovers FC 72% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct

AFC Wimbledon32% Draw28% Bristol Rovers FC40%

Actual: Bristol Rovers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes60% 0% No40%

Avg goals/match: 3

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	57%	43%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

AFC Wimbledon or Draw

59%

Draw or Bristol Rovers FC

68%

AFC Wimbledon or Bristol Rovers FC

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

AFC Wimbledon24% Draw44% Bristol Rovers FC32%

Actual: Bristol Rovers FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–4 not predicted

2 – 4

Actual

1 – 1

12%

1 – 2

8.8%

0 – 1

7.4%

2 – 1

7.2%

0 – 0

6.7%

0 – 2

6.7%

2 – 2

5.9%

1 – 0

5.9%

1 – 3

4.8%

2 – 0

4.5%

0 – 3

3.6%

2 – 3

3.3%

Asian Handicap — AFC Wimbledon

Handicap	AFC Wimbledon covers	Push	Bristol Rovers FC covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	9%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	16%	70%
-0.5	30%	—	70%
+0.5	57%	—	43%
+1	57%	20%	23%
+1.5	77%	—	23%
+2	77%	13%	10%
+2.5	90%	—	10%

Clean Sheet

AFC Wimbledon keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Bristol Rovers FC keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.