AFC Ajax vs PAE AEK, 2016
Overview
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan | PAE AEK | H | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Jan | FC Spartak Trnava | A | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Jan | Olympique Lyonnais | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Jan | FC Spartak Trnava | H | 2–2 | D |
| 02 Jan | FC CFR 1907 Cluj | H | 3–0 | W |
| 31 Dec | FK Spartak Moskva | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan | AFC Ajax | A | 1–3 | L |
| 14 Jan | BSC Young Boys | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Jan | FK Crvena Zvezda | A | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Jan | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | A | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Dec | Fenerbahce SK | H | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Dec | Cercle Brugge KSV | H | 3–2 | W |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
PAE AEK Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nicolas Tagliafico | 2 |
| Nicolas Tagliafico | 2 |
| Dusan Tadic | 2 |
| Chuba Akpom | 2 |
| Donny van de Beek | 1 |
| Donny van de Beek | 1 |
| Steven Bergwijn | 1 |
| Domagoj Vida | 1 |
AFC Ajax Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.78
AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06
PAE AEK xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
AFC Ajax or Draw
78%
Draw or PAE AEK
46%
AFC Ajax or PAE AEK
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AFC Ajax win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
1 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
9.1%
0 – 0
7.6%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
5.3%
0 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax
| Handicap | AFC Ajax covers | Push | PAE AEK covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 16% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 23% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 13% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
PAE AEK keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

