AFC Ajax vs KF Valur, 2016
Overview
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb | KF Valur | H | 5–1 | W |
| 07 Feb | Real Madrid CF | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Feb | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | A | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Jan | SK Slavia Praha | H | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Jan | PAE AEK | H | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Jan | FC Spartak Trnava | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb | AFC Ajax | A | 1–5 | L |
| 04 Feb | BSC Young Boys | H | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Jan | Olympique Lyonnais | H | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Jan | AS Monaco FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Jan | Cercle Brugge KSV | H | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Jan | SK Slavia Praha | A | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
KF Valur Lineups
H2H
AFC Ajax Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.4
AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92
KF Valur xG
I would bet for:
AFC Ajax to win 66% + Over 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.32
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
AFC Ajax or Draw
86%
Draw or KF Valur
34%
AFC Ajax or KF Valur
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–1 not predicted5 – 1Actual
2 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 1
8.7%
1 – 0
8.4%
3 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
7.4%
0 – 0
5%
4 – 0
4.8%
4 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
4.2%
1 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax
| Handicap | AFC Ajax covers | Push | KF Valur covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -2 | 27% | 20% | 53% |
| -1.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| -1 | 47% | 22% | 31% |
| -0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
40%
✓
KF Valur keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

