AFC Ajax vs FK Suduva Marijampole, 2015

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Premier League 2015/16 · 2015

AFC Ajax

1 – 2

Full Time

FK Suduva Marijampole

Tue 1 Mar 2016 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs FK Suduva Marijampole — Premier League .

AFC Ajax 0 games · 0 pts
FK Suduva Marijampole 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

AFC Ajax 5.25

Draw 4.00

FK Suduva Marijampole 1.70

Head-to-Head

AFC Ajax 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals FK Suduva Marijampole

Last 5 meetings

2016-03-01 AFC Ajax 1–2 FK Suduva Marijampole 2015-11-21 FK Suduva Marijampole 1–0 AFC Ajax

Recent Form

AFC Ajax

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Mar	FK Suduva Marijampole	H	1–2	L
27 Feb	KF Shkendija 79	A	0–1	L
13 Feb	Qarabag Agdam FK	H	2–2	D
06 Feb	BSC Young Boys	A	0–2	L
02 Feb	Valletta FC	H	0–3	L
23 Jan	Malmo FF	H	4–5	L

FK Suduva Marijampole

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Mar	AFC Ajax	A	2–1	W
27 Feb	FC Spartak Trnava	A	2–1	W
13 Feb	FK Kukesi	H	5–1	W
07 Feb	NK Olimpija Ljubljana	H	1–1	D
03 Feb	The New Saints FC	A	0–0	D
24 Jan	Helsingin JK	A	1–0	W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for AFC Ajax and FK Suduva Marijampole.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for AFC Ajax.

Lineups

AFC Ajax Lineups

FK Suduva Marijampole Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 3

1.1 AFC Ajax xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.49 FK Suduva Marijampole xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

AFC Ajax27% Draw27% FK Suduva Marijampole46%

Actual: FK Suduva Marijampole win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes52% 0% No48%

Avg goals/match: 2.59

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	73%	27%
± 2.5	48%	52%
± 3.5	27%	73%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw

54%

Draw or FK Suduva Marijampole

73%

AFC Ajax or FK Suduva Marijampole

73%

Half-Time Result

AFC Ajax21% Draw48% FK Suduva Marijampole31%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.2%

0 – 1

10.1%

0 – 0

9.5%

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 2

8.1%

1 – 0

7.2%

2 – 1

6.5%

2 – 2

4.9%

1 – 3

4.4%

2 – 0

4.4%

0 – 3

2 – 3

2.5%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap	AFC Ajax covers	Push	FK Suduva Marijampole covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	7%	89%
-1.5	11%	—	89%
-1	11%	16%	73%
-0.5	27%	—	73%
+0.5	55%	—	45%
+1	55%	22%	23%
+1.5	77%	—	23%
+2	77%	14%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

FK Suduva Marijampole keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.