AFC Ajax vs Malmo FF, 2015

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Premier League 2015/16 · 2015

AFC Ajax

4 – 5

Full Time

Malmo FF

Sat 23 Jan 2016 · 12:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs Malmo FF — Premier League .

AFC Ajax 0 games · 0 pts
Malmo FF 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

AFC Ajax 4.33

Draw 3.50

Malmo FF 1.95

Head-to-Head

AFC Ajax 2 games · Avg 5.5 goals Malmo FF

Last 5 meetings

2016-01-23 AFC Ajax 4–5 Malmo FF 2015-09-20 Malmo FF 1–1 AFC Ajax

Recent Form

AFC Ajax

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Jan	Malmo FF	H	4–5	L
16 Jan	FK Sutjeska Niksic	A	0–3	L
13 Jan	FK Crvena Zvezda	A	1–3	L
02 Jan	FC Spartak Trnava	H	1–0	W
28 Dec	BSC Young Boys	H	2–0	W
26 Dec	Valletta FC	A	0–3	L

Malmo FF

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Jan	AFC Ajax	A	5–4	W
17 Jan	NK Olimpija Ljubljana	H	0–1	L
13 Jan	Helsingin JK	H	3–3	D
02 Jan	Qarabag Agdam FK	A	0–2	L
30 Dec	FC Midtjylland	A	1–0	W
26 Dec	KF Shkendija 79	H	1–0	W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: AFC Ajax gets underway.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 4-5.

Lineups

AFC Ajax Lineups

Malmo FF Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.95 AFC Ajax xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.9 Malmo FF xG

I would bet for: AFC Ajax or Malmo FF 75% + Over 2.5 goals 73%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

AFC Ajax38% Draw25% Malmo FF37%

Actual: Malmo FF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes72% 0% No28%

Avg goals/match: 3.85

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	89%	11%
± 2.5	73%	27%
± 3.5	53%	47%
± 4.5	34%	66%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw

63%

Draw or Malmo FF

62%

AFC Ajax or Malmo FF

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

AFC Ajax31% Draw39% Malmo FF30%

Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–5 not predicted

4 – 5

Actual

1 – 1

8.7%

2 – 1

7.5%

1 – 2

7.3%

2 – 2

3 – 1

4.8%

1 – 3

4.6%

3 – 2

4.5%

2 – 3

4.4%

2 – 0

4.1%

0 – 2

3.9%

1 – 0

3.7%

0 – 1

3.5%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap	AFC Ajax covers	Push	Malmo FF covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	12%	78%
-1.5	22%	—	78%
-1	22%	18%	60%
-0.5	40%	—	60%
+0.5	62%	—	38%
+1	62%	17%	21%
+1.5	79%	—	21%
+2	79%	11%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Malmo FF keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.