Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AD Ceuta FC vs Burgos CF, Segunda Division 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Segunda Division · 2025-26
AD Ceuta FC
1 – 0
Full Time
Burgos CF
Sat 29 Nov 2025 · 13:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AD Ceuta FC vs Burgos CF — Segunda Division .

Match Details

  • Referee Salvador Lax Franco (Spain)

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CD Castellon 7 19
2 SD Eibar 7 18
3 UD Almeria 7 15
4 Burgos CF 7 14
5 Girona FC 7 13
6 RCD Mallorca 7 13
7 CE Sabadell FC 7 12
8 CD Tenerife 7 11
9 CD Leganes 7 11
10 Real Oviedo 7 11
11 UD Las Palmas 7 10
12 Real Sporting de Gijon 7 10
13 Granada CF 7 8
14 Real Sociedad B 7 8
15 Real Valladolid CF 7 8
16 Celta Vigo B 7 8
17 Andorra CF 7 6
18 Cordoba CF 7 6
19 CD Eldense 7 5
20 Cadiz CF 7 4
21 AD Ceuta FC 7 4
22 Albacete Balompie 7 1

Head-to-Head

1
1
1
AD Ceuta FC 3 games · Avg 2.3 goals Burgos CF
Last 5 meetings
2025-11-29 AD Ceuta FC 1–0 Burgos CF

Recent Form

AD Ceuta FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Nov Burgos CF H 1–0 W
26 Nov UD Almeria H 3–2 W
23 Nov RC Deportivo La Coruña A 1–2 L
16 Nov CD Leganes H 1–2 L
02 Nov Cordoba CF A 0–2 L
25 Oct Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa A 1–0 W
Burgos CF
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Nov AD Ceuta FC A 0–1 L
23 Nov Real Racing Club de Santander H 0–2 L
16 Nov CD Mirandés A 2–0 W
10 Nov CD Castellon H 0–0 D
01 Nov CD Leganes A 2–1 W
25 Oct Real Sociedad B H 1–0 W

Season Stats

AD Ceuta FC Burgos CF
#21 Position #4
4 Points 14
7 Played 7
1 / 1 / 5 W / D / L 4 / 2 / 1
6 Scored 11
17 Conceded 7
-11 GD +4
0.57 PPG 2.00
14% Win % 57%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
AD Ceuta FC this season
29% Clean Sheets
Burgos CF this season

AD Ceuta FC are 21st (4 pts). Burgos CF are 4th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AD Ceuta FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/2
46-60
–/4
61-75
1/2
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Burgos CF
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/3
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AD Ceuta FC
Carlos Hernandez 4 G
Jordi Escobar 2 G 1 A
Burgos CF
Alex Fores 3 G 1 A
David Gonzalez 3 G 1 A
Javier Llabres 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

AD Ceuta FC Lineups

Burgos CF Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
0.97 AD Ceuta FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.83 Burgos CF xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AD Ceuta FC29% Draw25% Burgos CF46%
Actual: AD Ceuta FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

AD Ceuta FC or Draw
54%
Draw or Burgos CF
71%
AD Ceuta FC or Burgos CF
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AD Ceuta FC16% Draw44% Burgos CF40%
Actual: AD Ceuta FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
0 – 1
10.4%
0 – 2
10%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
7.9%
0 – 3
6%
1 – 3
5.8%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.6%
2 – 3
2.9%
2 – 0
2.8%

Asian Handicap — AD Ceuta FC

Handicap AD Ceuta FC covers Push Burgos CF covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 12% 81%
-0.5 19% — 81%
+0.5 44% — 56%
+1 44% 23% 33%
+1.5 67% — 33%
+2 67% 17% 15%
+2.5 85% — 15%

Clean Sheet

AD Ceuta FC keeps clean sheet
17% ✗
Burgos CF keeps clean sheet
38% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.