AC Milan vs Genoa CFC, 2014

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Serie A 2014/15 · 2014

AC Milan

1 – 1

Full Time

Genoa CFC

Sat 10 Jan 2015 · 17:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Genoa CFC — Serie A .

AC Milan 0 games · 0 pts
Genoa CFC 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

AC Milan 2.05

Draw 3.20

Genoa CFC 4.00

Head-to-Head

AC Milan 22 games · Avg 2.3 goals Genoa CFC

Last 5 meetings

2015-01-10 AC Milan 1–1 Genoa CFC

Recent Form

AC Milan

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Jan	Genoa CFC	H	1–1	D
06 Jan	Bologna FC 1909	A	2–1	W
20 Dec	FK Dinamo Moskva	H	1–1	D
13 Dec	FK Ural	A	1–2	L
06 Dec	SS Lazio	A	2–2	D
29 Nov	NEROCA FC	H	2–1	W

Genoa CFC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Jan	AC Milan	A	1–1	D
06 Jan	SS Lazio	H	0–1	L
21 Dec	Atalanta BC	A	2–2	D
14 Dec	NEROCA FC	H	1–2	L
07 Dec	Udinese Calcio	A	2–1	W
30 Nov	Bologna FC 1909	A	0–2	L

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
It finishes all square. AC Milan and Genoa CFC share the spoils 1-1.

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

Genoa CFC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Mattia Destro	3
Junior Messias	3
Suso	2
Rafael Leao	2
Zlatan Ibrahimovic	2
Alessio Romagnoli	2
Christopher Nkunku	1
Ante Rebic	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 3

1.27 AC Milan xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.1 Genoa CFC xG

I would bet for: AC Milan or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

AC Milan42% Draw29% Genoa CFC29%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes49% 0% No51%

Avg goals/match: 2.37

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	88%	12%
± 1.5	69%	31%
± 2.5	42%	58%
± 3.5	22%	78%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw

71%

Draw or Genoa CFC

58%

AC Milan or Genoa CFC

71%

Half-Time Result

AC Milan28% Draw50% Genoa CFC22%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

11.6%

1 – 0

10.8%

0 – 1

9.1%

2 – 1

2 – 0

7.3%

1 – 2

6.9%

0 – 2

5.4%

2 – 2

4.5%

3 – 1

3.4%

3 – 0

3.1%

1 – 3

2.5%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap	AC Milan covers	Push	Genoa CFC covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	12%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	21%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	70%	—	30%
+1	70%	18%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	9%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

Genoa CFC keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.