1. FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. CfR Pforzheim, 2017

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DFB-Pokal 2017/18 · 2017

1. FSV Mainz 05

1 – 0

Full Time

1. CfR Pforzheim

Wed 7 Feb 2018 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs 1. CfR Pforzheim — DFB-Pokal .

1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts
1. CfR Pforzheim 0 games · 0 pts

Head-to-Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · Avg 2.6 goals 1. CfR Pforzheim

Last 5 meetings

2018-02-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–0 1. CfR Pforzheim 2017-10-28 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 1. CfR Pforzheim 2017-04-08 1. FSV Mainz 05 4–1 1. CfR Pforzheim 2016-11-19 1. CfR Pforzheim 0–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2016-02-06 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–0 1. CfR Pforzheim

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Feb	1. CfR Pforzheim	H	1–0	W
03 Feb	Wroxham FC	H	1–2	L
27 Jan	FC Erzgebirge Aue	A	2–0	W
21 Jan	1. FC Nürnberg	H	1–1	D
13 Jan	TuS Erndtebruck	A	1–3	L
19 Dec	Karlsruher SC	H	1–0	W

1. CfR Pforzheim

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Feb	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	0–1	L
03 Feb	FC Erzgebirge Aue	H	1–1	D
28 Jan	1. FC Nürnberg	A	1–0	W
20 Jan	FC Hansa Rostock	H	1–3	L
14 Jan	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	0–0	D
19 Dec	FC Augsburg	A	0–0	D

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at as 1. FSV Mainz 05 face off against 1. CfR Pforzheim in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
1-0 the final result. 1. CfR Pforzheim will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

1. CfR Pforzheim Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2018-02-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–0 1. CfR Pforzheim W 2018-02-03 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–2 Wroxham FC L 2018-01-27 FC Erzgebirge Aue 0–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2018-01-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg D 2018-01-13 TuS Erndtebruck 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2017-12-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–0 Karlsruher SC W

1. CfR Pforzheim Form

2018-02-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–0 1. CfR Pforzheim L 2018-02-03 1. CfR Pforzheim 1–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue D 2018-01-28 1. FC Nürnberg 0–1 1. CfR Pforzheim W 2018-01-20 1. CfR Pforzheim 1–3 FC Hansa Rostock L 2018-01-14 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0–0 1. CfR Pforzheim D 2017-12-19 FC Augsburg 0–0 1. CfR Pforzheim D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 3

1.27 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.78 1. CfR Pforzheim xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 67% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct

1. FSV Mainz 0550% Draw29% 1. CfR Pforzheim21%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes40% 0% No60%

Avg goals/match: 2.05

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	85%	15%
± 1.5	61%	39%
± 2.5	33%	67%
± 3.5	16%	84%
± 4.5	6%	94%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw

79%

Draw or 1. CfR Pforzheim

50%

1. FSV Mainz 05 or 1. CfR Pforzheim

71%

Half-Time Result

1. FSV Mainz 0531% Draw53% 1. CfR Pforzheim16%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

15.3%

1 – 0

Actual

1 – 1

13.6%

2 – 0

10%

0 – 1

8.8%

2 – 1

7.9%

1 – 2

4.8%

3 – 0

4.1%

0 – 2

3.7%

3 – 1

3.4%

2 – 2

3.2%

3 – 2

1.4%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers	Push	1. CfR Pforzheim covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	14%	78%
-1.5	22%	—	78%
-1	22%	25%	54%
-0.5	46%	—	54%
+0.5	79%	—	21%
+1	79%	15%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

46% ✗

1. CfR Pforzheim keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.