1. FC Nürnberg vs MSV Duisburg, 2017

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1. Bundesliga 2017/18 · 2017

1. FC Nürnberg

1 – 3

Full Time

MSV Duisburg

Sat 10 Mar 2018 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Nürnberg vs MSV Duisburg — Bundesliga .

1. FC Nürnberg 0 games · 0 pts
MSV Duisburg 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

1. FC Nürnberg 2.14

Draw 3.39

MSV Duisburg 3.39

Head-to-Head

1. FC Nürnberg 6 games · Avg 2.5 goals MSV Duisburg

Last 5 meetings

2018-03-10 1. FC Nürnberg 1–3 MSV Duisburg 2017-10-21 MSV Duisburg 1–2 1. FC Nürnberg 2016-02-21 1. FC Nürnberg 0–1 MSV Duisburg 2015-09-20 MSV Duisburg 2–0 1. FC Nürnberg 2015-05-16 MSV Duisburg 1–2 1. FC Nürnberg

Recent Form

1. FC Nürnberg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Mar	MSV Duisburg	H	1–3	L
03 Mar	FC Hansa Rostock	A	0–1	L
24 Feb	VfB Stuttgart	H	0–1	L
17 Feb	Karlsruher SC	A	1–1	D
10 Feb	Hamburger SV	H	2–1	W
04 Feb	TuS Dassendorf	A	1–1	D

MSV Duisburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Mar	1. FC Nürnberg	A	3–1	W
03 Mar	SC Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	H	0–2	L
26 Feb	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	1–1	D
18 Feb	FC Erzgebirge Aue	H	0–1	L
09 Feb	TuS Erndtebruck	A	0–2	L
04 Feb	FC Hansa Rostock	H	3–0	W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. 1. FC Nürnberg get us underway at .
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from MSV Duisburg to claim maximum points.

Lineups

1. FC Nürnberg Lineups

MSV Duisburg Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

1. FC Nürnberg Form

2018-03-10 1. FC Nürnberg 1–3 MSV Duisburg L 2018-03-03 FC Hansa Rostock 1–0 1. FC Nürnberg L 2018-02-24 1. FC Nürnberg 0–1 VfB Stuttgart L 2018-02-17 Karlsruher SC 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg D 2018-02-10 1. FC Nürnberg 2–1 Hamburger SV W 2018-02-04 TuS Dassendorf 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg D

MSV Duisburg Form

2018-03-10 1. FC Nürnberg 1–3 MSV Duisburg W 2018-03-03 MSV Duisburg 0–2 SC Rot-Weiß Oberhausen L 2018-02-26 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 MSV Duisburg D 2018-02-18 MSV Duisburg 0–1 FC Erzgebirge Aue L 2018-02-09 TuS Erndtebruck 2–0 MSV Duisburg L 2018-02-04 MSV Duisburg 3–0 FC Hansa Rostock W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.19 1. FC Nürnberg xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.41 MSV Duisburg xG

I would bet for: 1. FC Nürnberg or MSV Duisburg 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct

1. FC Nürnberg32% Draw29% MSV Duisburg39%

Actual: MSV Duisburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes53% 0% No47%

Avg goals/match: 2.6

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	73%	27%
± 2.5	48%	52%
± 3.5	27%	73%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

1. FC Nürnberg or Draw

61%

Draw or MSV Duisburg

68%

1. FC Nürnberg or MSV Duisburg

71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

1. FC Nürnberg23% Draw48% MSV Duisburg29%

Actual: MSV Duisburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.4%

0 – 0

9.4%

0 – 1

9.4%

1 – 2

8.4%

1 – 0

7.8%

0 – 2

7.2%

2 – 1

7.1%

2 – 0

5.1%

2 – 2

5.1%

1 – 3

Actual

0 – 3

3.3%

3 – 1

2.9%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Nürnberg

Handicap	1. FC Nürnberg covers	Push	MSV Duisburg covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	9%	87%
-1.5	13%	—	87%
-1	13%	17%	70%
-0.5	30%	—	70%
+0.5	60%	—	40%
+1	60%	21%	20%
+1.5	80%	—	20%
+2	80%	12%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Nürnberg keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

MSV Duisburg keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.