Wales vs Germany, 2017
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Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history -
Events
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Lineups
Wales Lineups
Germany Lineups
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H2H
Wales Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy1 / 41.31 Wales xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.11 Germany xGI would bet for: Wales or Germany 71% + Under 2.5 goals 57%Match Result
✗ WrongActual: DrawBoth Teams to Score
✗ WrongAvg goals/match: 2.42Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 89% 11% ± 1.5 70% 30% ± 2.5 43% 57% ± 3.5 23% 77% ± 4.5 11% 89% Double Chance
Wales or Draw 71%Draw or Germany 59%Wales or Germany 71%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Wales win at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 Actual0 – 0 11.1%1 – 0 10.5%0 – 1 8.7%2 – 1 8.2%2 – 0 7.4%1 – 2 6.9%0 – 2 5.3%2 – 2 4.6%3 – 1 3.6%3 – 0 3.2%1 – 3 2.6%Asian Handicap — Wales
Handicap Wales covers Push Germany covers -2.5 7% — 93% -2 7% 12% 82% -1.5 18% — 82% -1 18% 21% 61% -0.5 39% — 61% +0.5 70% — 30% +1 70% 18% 12% +1.5 88% — 12% +2 88% 8% 4% +2.5 96% — 4% Clean Sheet
Wales keeps clean sheet 34% ✓Germany keeps clean sheet 28% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.