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VBV De Graafschap vs Heracles Almelo, 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2018-19
Sat 30 Mar 2019 · 18:45 UTC Stadion De Vijverberg HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VBV De Graafschap vs Heracles Almelo — Eredivisie at Stadion De Vijverberg.

Match Details

  • Referee Dennis Higler
  • Referee Joost van Zuilen
  • Referee Johan Balder
  • Referee Stan Teuben
  • Referee Christian Mulder

Head-to-Head

2
VBV De Graafschap 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals Heracles Almelo

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar Heracles Almelo H 1–2 L
16 Mar SC Heerenveen A 3–0 W
09 Mar Willem II Tilburg A 2–3 L
01 Mar ADO Den Haag H 1–1 D
23 Feb PEC Zwolle A 3–0 W
17 Feb FC Utrecht H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar VBV De Graafschap A 2–1 W
16 Mar SBV Vitesse H 3–2 W
10 Mar FC Emmen A 1–1 D
02 Mar FC Utrecht H 1–5 L
22 Feb VVV Venlo A 1–0 W
16 Feb Fortuna Sittard H 6–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.99 VBV De Graafschap xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59 Heracles Almelo xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
VBV De Graafschap25% Draw28% Heracles Almelo47%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.58
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

VBV De Graafschap or Draw
53%
Draw or Heracles Almelo
75%
VBV De Graafschap or Heracles Almelo
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VBV De Graafschap18% Draw47% Heracles Almelo35%
Actual: VBV De Graafschap win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
0 – 1
11%
0 – 0
9.5%
0 – 2
9.3%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 1
5.7%
1 – 3
4.9%
0 – 3
4.9%
2 – 2
4.6%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — VBV De Graafschap

Handicap VBV De Graafschap covers Push Heracles Almelo covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 14% 78%
-0.5 22% 78%
+0.5 50% 50%
+1 50% 23% 27%
+1.5 73% 27%
+2 73% 15% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

VBV De Graafschap keeps clean sheet
21%
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
38%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.